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An Airbag for the Crash Test Dummies? EU-UK Negotiations for a Post-Withdrawal “Status Quo” Transitional Regime Under Article 50 TEU
01/02/2018
"Due entirely to its own choices, for which it should accept direct responsibility, the UK needs a transitional deal far more than the EU does." - quoted from Concluding remarks
Research by the Centre for Business Prosperity at Aston University has shown that UK exports to the EU fell by an average of 22.9% in the first 15 months after the introduction of the EU-UK Trade and Cooperation Agreement, highlighting the continuing challenges that UK firms are facing.
Brexit has cost the UK economy billions of pounds in lost trade and tax revenues, according to research shared with ITV News by the Centre for European Reform. / It estimates the economy is 5% smaller than it would have been if the UK had stayed in the EU.
Britain leaving the EU could hit least-developed countries hard, with Cambodia most affected, report finds.
It would be wrong to focus too much on 2021 when looking at the effects of Brexit on UK trade. We have just published a new paper looking at how it affected UK trade between 2015 and 2018. It shows for the first time that fears about Brexit weakened the UK’s trading position long before the vote to leave the EU even took place.
Brexit has damaged Britain’s competitiveness, and will make us poorer in the decade ahead
22/06/2022
Brexit has not had the expected effect of narrowly reducing exports to the EU, but has instead more broadly reduced how open and competitive Britain’s economy is, which will reduce productivity and wages in the decade ahead, according to new joint Resolution Foundation and LSE research.
Johnson's much-trumpeted FTAs “barely scratch the surface of the UK’s challenge to make up the GDP lost by leaving the EU”.
Brexit’s Long-Run Effects on the U.K. Economy - John van Reenen, Massachusetts Institute of Technology [pdf]
What will be the long-run economic effects of the United Kingdom’s decision to leave the European Union—informally known as Brexit? Compared with remaining in the European Union, there will inevitably be higher trade costs with the rest of Europe, which accounts for about half of all U.K. trade.
By the end of 2021, Brexit had already cost UK households a total of £5.8 billion in higher food bills – new LSE research
01/12/2022
Leaving the European Union (EU) added an average of £210 to household food bills over the two years to the end of 2021, costing UK consumers a total of £5.8 billion, new research from the Centre for Economic Performance (CEP) at the London School of Economics finds.
CER podcast: The cost of Brexit to June 2018
24/10/2018
The UK economy is 2.5 per cent smaller as a result of the vote to leave the EU. John Springford talks to Beth Oppenheim about his latest analysis, how he has refined his modelling method and the implications of the findings.
CER podcast: What is the cost of Brexit?
01/08/2018
The UK economy is around 2 per cent smaller as a result of the vote to leave the EU. John Springford speaks to Sophia Besch about his analysis, his modelling method and the implications of the result.
CER: What's the cost of Brexit so far?
23/06/2018
New analysis by the CER – which we will update quarterly – estimates that the UK economy is 2.1 per cent smaller as a result of the vote to leave the EU. The knock-on hit to the public finances is now £23 billion per annum – or £440 million a week.
The European Parliament has commissioned dozens of impact assessments or studies on Brexit from experts, across a broad range of policy areas, which are publicly available online. This webpage will be regularly updated to include further relevant publications.
Over the past year, Agnese Romiti from the Department of Economics at the University of Strathclyde and Catalina Amuedo-Dorantes from the University of California-Merced have been working on a project examining the effect of the Brexit referendum held in 2016 on university applications from EU students.
The Brexit vote precipitated the unravelling of the UK's membership of the world's deepest economic integration agreement. The paper reviews evidence on the realized economic effects of Brexit.
How have the numbers of doctors in the NHS who come from the EU and the European Free Trade Association changed since the Brexit referendum in 2016? And do certain specialties face particular problems? Martha McCarey and Mark Dayan take a closer look at what’s happened since the vote.
How balanced was the debate over Brexit?
13/07/2020
In the debate over Brexit, accusations of an anti-Brexit or pro-Brexit bias by the media have been a recurring feature.
How has Brexit changed EU-UK trade flows?
19/10/2022
This paper estimates how Brexit has affected goods trade between the United Kingdom and European Union. Using product-level trade flows between the EU and all other countries in the world as a comparison group, we find a sharp decline in trade from the UK to the EU and significant but smaller reductions in trade from the EU to the UK.
How has Brexit changed EU–UK trade flows?
01/01/2024
This paper estimates how Brexit has affected goods trade between the United Kingdom and European Union. Using product-level trade flows between the EU and all other countries in the world as a comparison group, we find a sharp decline in trade from the UK to the EU and significant but smaller reductions in trade from the EU to the UK.
Impacts of Brexit on fruit and vegetable intake and cardiovascular disease in England: a modelling study
To estimate the potential impacts of different Brexit trade policy scenarios on the price and intake of fruits and vegetables (F&V) and consequent cardiovascular disease (CVD) deaths in England between 2021 and 2030.
New research shows freedom of movement is not toxic to Leavers, who are almost as positive about it as Remainers
05/09/2022
There is a widespread assumption that freedom of movement with the EU is highly unpopular among people who identify as Leavers. Paul Willner, Todd Hartman, and Richard Bentall present data from a large (>2K) sample showing that this assumption is mistaken: freedom of movement is almost as acceptable to Leavers as it is to Remainers.