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Even voices on the Right acknowledge this fact, says Paul Vallely. / THERE have been so many U-turns recently that you might be forgiven for having missed this one. The Daily Telegraph ran a piece at the weekend headlined: “Project Fear was right all along.”
"It represents a form of economic vandalism on Northern Ireland" - Taoiseach Micheál Martin [2 mins]
19/06/2022
Taoiseach Micheál Martin says legislation that has been published on the Northern Ireland Protocol "would effectively be very damaging to the NI economy".
"Upwards of £1 trillion" is being taken out of the UK and transferred to Europe - C4 News
04/04/2019
Our Economics Correspondent @HeliaEbrahimi explains how no-deal Brexit preparations are impacting the UK economy.
'Are We Still Paying The Price?': BBC Presenter Clashes With Minister Over Brexit's Economic Impact
11/08/2023
Treasury secretary John Glen tried to dodge the question when quizzed on the Today programme.
PM dug into a corner by refusing to compromise on sovereignty but EU reached ‘pain threshold’
Adam Posen, Peterson Institute for International Economics president, discusses U.K. Prime Minister Theresa May’s Brexit speech on Friday.
Britain is already heading for the worst coronavirus-induced slump of any major economy. Now fears are rising that businesses could be slammed by a second body blow this year — the failure of trade talks with the European Union.
'chilling explanation of what Brexit will do to the UK economy after December' - Adam Posen [5 mins]
This is the most chilling explanation of what Brexit will do to the UK economy after December. By @AdamPosen, President of the Peterson Institute for International Economics.
Two years after Britain’s departure from the European Union, bosses of UK businesses are reeling from the cost of Brexit, including some who voted to cut ties with Brussels.
'Disaster' five years on: Brexit has been doing 'so much damage to the British economy' (6 mins)
03/03/2025
Five years ago, the U.K. officially left the bloc after almost five decades of membership that had brought free movement and free trade between Britain and 27 other European countries.
'Immense damage' done by Brexit is something I cannot ignore: Sadiq Khan attacks government 'denial'
12/01/2023
Sadiq Khan is expected to attack the Government’s “denial and avoidance” of the “immense damage” he says Brexit is wreaking upon the country.
US Embassy staff discussing Brexit. They know Brexit is a disaster and that the British Govt are not telling the public that 52% voted for something that's likely to be "very very bad".
Companies in the United Kingdom and the European Union face an extra £58 billion ($80 billion) in annual costs if there is a no-deal Brexit, with the U.K.’s vast financial sector set to be the worst-hit industry, according to a report issued Monday.
Parliament hears proponents of leaving the EU are “in a state of confusion and denial” as calls grow for public inquiry.
'The economy would be in better shape had Brexit not happened': Ex-Bank of England economist Michael Saunders [1 min]
17/11/2022
Former Monetary Policy Committee at Bank of England Michael Saunders said Brexit is to blame for "persistent" and "lasting" damage to the UK economy.
The UK is lagging behind European counterparts in terms of growth because of Brexit, the Director of Tax Research UK tells Nick Ferrari.
'Zero chance' leaving EU will make Britons better off, Nobel laureate economist Paul Krugman says
25/09/2019
Krugman rejects the assertions of Brexiteers that leaving the single market and customs union will ultimately help the UK export more to the rest of the world.
It’s almost 100 days since Britain completed its split from the EU -- almost five years after the referendum vote –- and a clearer picture of the consequences of the decision to leave is starting to emerge.
The first concerns the United Kingdom. Aside from a few hard-liners, Brexit -- the decision to leave the common market made by Boris Johnson's administration -- has become a disaster.
Probably not the anniversary present the government was hoping to offer the public.
Three years after the UK formally exited the European Union, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) has released new economic forecasts for 2023 which project that the UK will be the only advanced economy to contract this year.
A conspiracy of silence over Brexit
22/06/2022
ix years after the EU referendum, the United Kingdom is being forced to confront an inconvenient truth: Brexit is a process, not an event. It is emphatically not done. Only now are the consequences of the “oven-ready deal” of which Boris Johnson boasted becoming clear.
Boris Johnson is poised to become prime minister thanks to a small, unrepresentative population of Brexiteer voters bent on destruction.
The shadow foreign secretary said the current UK-EU trade deal is damaging the British economy.
Ever wondered why your taxes are so high and public services are in such a poor state? Now you know.
Sophie Stowers and Alan Wager look back on a year in Brexit, using the UK in a Changing Europe/Redfield and Wilton Strategies Brexit tracker poll to highlight five key trends in attitudes to Brexit in 2022.
Aberdeen MSP issues fresh independence call after Brexit 'costs city more than £90million'
05/11/2022
Data from HMRC shows that the value of Scottish exports has fallen by more than £2.2billion in the past two years.
The US economist and former Monetary Policy Committee member on how Britain became so poor and where Labour is going wrong.
After Brexit, Britain’s competitors are running rings around us. Sunak’s not even at the races
08/02/2023
This reshuffle will make little difference: the country is going nowhere as the PM leads us further down an economic dead end.
After coronavirus, the UK government can’t afford to play Russian roulette with the EU over a Brexit trade deal - Michael Heseltine
27/06/2020
The battle for foreign investment is not a game conducted on public school playing fields. It is ruthlessly fought by governments armed with every trick in the book.
“You bring Brexiters on, you never challenge them. You let them talk utter rubbish about Brexit. Year after year after year.”
Boris Johnson and his team have only 3 months before Brexit, "very little time" to make significant preparations for a no-deal scenario says Sumona Guha, Albright Stonebridge Group Vice President.
Almost half of the lorries currently crossing the Short Straits from the UK to France are empty, according to data from the Road Haulage Association.
ITV News Business and Economics Editor Joel Hills reports on how the economic impacts of Brexit continue to ripple through the UK's economy.
Angela Merkel says Britain must ‘live with the consequences’ of Boris Johnson’s decision to ditch close alignment with EU
27/06/2020
Poll finds just 25 per cent of voters think PM will get a deal which is good for Britain.
THERE have been no advantages to leaving the European Union, the Constitution Secretary has said on the second anniversary of the end of the Brexit transition period.
A trade collapse with the EU shows that the damage will linger on far longer than Liz Truss did.
The British government on Sunday denied a report that it is seeking a “Swiss-style” relationship with the European Union that would remove many of the economic barriers erected by Brexit — even as it tries to improve ties with the bloc after years of acrimony.
British PM is now more likely to push for 'harder' divorce from EU.
A comprehensive and impartial assessment of the implications of Brexit for economic activity in the UK and the rest of the world.
Australia trade deal will deliver minimal benefit to UK economy and poses risks for farmers, say experts
15/06/2021
Farmers fear that deal will mean they risk being undercut by cheap imports made to lower animal welfare standards.
Bank forecasts worst year for UK since 2009
07/02/2019
The Bank of England expects growth this year to be the slowest since 2009 when the economy was in recession.
Bank of England cuts UK growth forecast
01/08/2019
Brexit uncertainties are becoming "more entrenched" and increasingly weighing on the British economy less than three months before the country is scheduled to leave the European Union, the Bank of England said Thursday.
The Bank of England indicated Thursday that it could cut interest rates below zero for the first time in its 326-year history as it tries to shore up a U.K. economic recovery that is facing the dual headwinds of the coronavirus and Brexit
Banking sector warns of 1930s-style crisis after no-deal Brexit: 'Social and economic catastrophe'
14/01/2019
A no-deal Brexit would be an economic and social “catastrophe”, a senior banking industry leader has warned.
"Good to see the BBC wading into the fray at last, now that the damage it's causing is too great to conceal", one person said.
If Britain ends up in the recession expected by the Bank of England, public anger will be looking for an outlet. / I asked Albrecht Ritschl, professor of economic history at the LSE, what single move the UK government could make to alleviate the pain. “Suspend Brexit for 20 years.”
Brexiteers promised to “take back control.” But the decision has instead delivered recession, gloom, and despair.
Bank of England Chief Economist Huw Pill suggested that the UK is yet to see any positive economic benefits from exiting the European Union.
Andrew Bailey said the deal was broadly in line with what the BOE forecast in November.
Boris Johnson and Rishi Sunak should level with the public that Brexit has scarred our economy
28/03/2022
The Chancellor and Prime Minister need a plan to counter figures showing lower growth after the hit to EU trade.
Government refuses to commit to publishing any forecast of the costs to jobs and families.
Boris Johnson government will not carry out any economic impact assessment of his Brexit deal, officials admit
19/11/2019
Protest that 'public is being kept in the dark' over expected economic hit of up to £130bn.
A couple of points are worth observing already. Nearly six years on from the Leave vote, the supposed opportunities of Brexit remain entirely conspicuous by their absence. And ramping up the rhetoric by claiming “immense opportunity” does not change this reality.
London: British Prime Minister Boris Johnson has ordered ministers to slash one in five public service jobs to free up billions for tax cuts.
Boris Johnson trade deal plan little better than no-deal Brexit, UK’s former ambassador to EU warns
12/03/2020
Ivan Rogers says some in Downing Street appear to be ‘misjudging’ negotiations.
The UK government will ultimately back away from a no-deal Brexit because trading on World Trade Organisation rules with Europe would be simply too damaging for UK business after the Covid crisis, Peter Mandelson has predicted.
Theresa May’s former chief of staff attacked Boris Johnson’s Brexit deal as being “bad for our Union and for our economy” in the House of Lords.
The report estimated the PM's deal would be worse for the economy than continuing with the current indecision and uncertainty
Prime minister's proposal worse for economy than Theresa May's deal, analysis says.
Conservative manifesto plans mean continued Brexit uncertainty and risk no-deal crash-out at end of 2020, says thinktank.
Survey shows 88% of 100 leading academics believe a Canada-style trade deal with the EU will have a "negative" impact on Britain's economy.
Boris Johnson's government admits it has no plans to carry out an economic assessment of his Brexit deal
19/11/2019
Boris Johnson's government is accused of an "utterly staggering and a complete dereliction of duty" after admitting that it has no plans to carry out an assessment of the economic impact of the prime minister's Brexit deal.
In historical terms, however, those transgressions will end up being little more than footnotes. Viewed from afar, Johnson’s greatest failing is liable to be what he hoped would be his glorious legacy: Brexit.
MPs are increasingly looking to review point of trade deal in 2025 to push for better terms.
Some companies will have to move operations to the EU due to trade barriers, Office for Budget Responsibility says.
According to our study, the deal now being discussed would reduce per capita GDP by 6.4%, as opposed to 4.9%
Boris Johnson’s Brexit policy risks no-deal crash-out next year that will trigger a recession and return to austerity, expert IFS analysis indicates
28/11/2019
Institute for Fiscal Studies says it is 'plausible' to expect a £50 billion boost to UK economy if Brexit is cancelled.
North’s economy will be closer to Republic’s in terms of rules, regulations and practices.
The next, Brexit-induced recession will be most painful for poorer households, who are also those that voted Leave in greatest numbers.
Regardless of a deal or no-deal Brexit, the current political uncertainties are challenging the UK's position as the premier location for resolving disputes. Commercial courts have already opened in Paris and Amsterdam, with proceedings conducted entirely in English and expressly aimed at competing with the UK.
Brexit is partly to blame for historically high inflation in the UK by causing labour shortages, strengthening pricing pressure among firms, and weakening the economy, Bank of England chief economist Huw Pill has said.
As self-inflicted disasters go, it ranks as one of the worst in modern economic history."
Three-quarters of accountants here regard Brexit as a strongly negative influence on the economy, contributing to their highest level of concern since before the referendum.
Brexit has added to the UK's economic woes by lowering the value of the pound and contributing to price rises, an ex-Bank of England governor has said.
Brexit after Boris
31/07/2022
Boris Johnson became prime minister on the promise that Brexit would bring prosperity and pride. Did it?
BoE economist warns no-deal Brexit would likely lead to interest rate cut. / Brexit has already cost the UK economy £40bn per year – or £800m per week – in the period since the EU referendum in 2016, according to Bank of England economist Jan Vlieghe.
Brexit an 'unmitigated disaster' for Lanarkshire, blasts MSP as figures show region has lost millions in exports
03/11/2022
Figures from HMRC show that exports from Scotland to the EU have dropped 13 per cent in the past two years
“The entirely avoidable Brexit crisis has had as much of an impact on UK businesses as the unforeseeable Covid-19 tragedy, and its costs are still rising."
Brexit and pandemic have cost UK businesses £250bn each but EU departure tally now rising faster than Covid disruption
25/01/2022
The political choice of Brexit has cost UK businesses as much as the unforeseeable Covid pandemic.
The independent Office for Budget Responsibility has calculated that the scarring effect of covid lockdowns on the UK economy is only half of what it has cost the UK to leave the European Union.
Brexit Bites Back
12/12/2022
In recent months, British public opinion on the issue of Brexit has shifted. Many people in Britain are becoming more critical of Brexit.
THE UK will be the only major economy to plunge into recession the year, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) has warned – with the finger pointed at the “economic self-harm of Brexit” on the three year anniversary of Britain leaving the EU.
Brexit blues: From Wetherspoon to Next, the company bosses who loved Leave until reality hit
11/11/2022
But six years on, reality is kicking in and some of the most ardent Brexiteers - including the heads of major UK employers - are starting to change their tune.
Brexit Britain Confronts Reality
18/08/2022
Britons must look at themselves calmly and honestly, recognizing the tough times that lie ahead and the changes needed to get the country back on track. Unfortunately, the country's political leaders remain unwilling to treat voters like grown-ups.
Brexit Britain has 'significantly underperformed' compared to EU and US since 2016 referendum
14/02/2024
The UK has "significantly underperformed" compared to the European Union and the US since the referendum in 2016, new Goldman Sachs analysis shows.
Britain's trade performance is lagging increasingly behind that of other similar economies, according to data that suggest Brexit has had a detrimental effect on exports, on top of the COVID-19 pandemic.
Brexit Britain: Here's what the financial markets tell us about the economy effects of leaving the EU – Professor David McMillan
27/01/2022
A year after Britain left the European Union, you could be forgiven for thinking the current economic gloom has nothing to do with Brexit, and everything to do with Covid.
New research from economics experts at Aston University has found Brexit has caused a largely negative effect on UK services trade since the EU referendum.
Keith Brown challenged pro-Union parties at Holyrood to explain how they would reverse "the dismal downwards trend" caused by the UK leaving the EU.
Brexit Chickens Come Home to Roost
07/06/2022
While the picture’s hardly pretty and certainly not what advocates of Brexit envisioned, none of it surprises economists. As a former Bank of England official observed: “You run a trade war against yourself, bad things happen.”
But Brexit minister now claims hard Brexit was ‘essential’.
Britain's moves to leave the European Union may complicate life for our exporters but will not damage New Zealand’s economy, Prof Robert Patman says.
Brexit cost set to dwarf NHS budget
21/12/2016
The overall cost of Britain’s break from Europe is expected to be an astronomical £220 billion over four years, dwarfing the NHS budget which was a focal part of the ‘Leave’ campaign.
Brexit has cost the UK economy billions of pounds in lost trade and tax revenues, according to research shared with ITV News by the Centre for European Reform. / It estimates the economy is 5% smaller than it would have been if the UK had stayed in the EU.
The 4% hit to economic output envisaged by the UK’s fiscal watchdog could cost £84.5bn, Labour and Commons library research suggests.
Brexit will potentially cost London’s economy £9.5bn a year – with the capital’s service sectors bearing the brunt of the downturn, stark new research published by the Mayor of London, Sadiq Khan, reveals today.
Sadiq Khan urges government to strike financial services equivalence deal with EU.
Brexit created "frictions" in trade that impacted the UK economy, Work and Pensions Secretary Mel Stride has said.
Brexit crippled the UK economy – Liz Truss just made it worse | Economics | New Statesman [5 mins]
22/10/2022
Economist Duncan Weldon and the New Statesman’s polling expert explore how Brexit and austerity have damaged the UK economy and set the stage for Liz Truss’s “mismanagement.”
UK seeing ‘biggest squeeze on living standards’ on record, says head of fiscal watchdog.
Brexit damage continues to mount - GOV.SCOT
31/12/2022
The people of Scotland must be given a choice about their future given the damage inflicted by Brexit, Constitution Secretary Angus Robertson has said. / Marking two years since the end of the transition period to leave the European Union after 47 years of membership, Mr Robertson highlighted the negative impacts Brexit continues to have on Scotland’s economy.
Brexit damage seen by 75%, independence referendum by 46% of business leaders in IoD survey
04/09/2021
THREE-quarters of business leaders believe Brexit is damaging the UK economy, a poll has revealed.
Leaving the EU with no deal in place would cause 'irreparable harm' to the UK economy, business group warned.
Brexit red tape on British businesses has caused goods trade between the UK and EU to slump and the problem is getting worse, a study has warned.
Brexit deal means ‘£70bn hit to UK by 2029'
30/10/2019
Boris Johnson's Brexit deal will leave the UK £70bn worse off than if it had remained in the EU, a study by the National Institute of Economic and Social Research (NIESR) has found.
Adam Posen, a former Bank of England policy maker, said most of Britain’s inflation problem stems from Brexit and that he’d vote for a half-point interest rate increase to curb an upward surge in prices.
WELL, the cat is out of the bag. Brexit visionary Nigel Farage has finally admitted the truth – that Brexit has been an unmitigated disaster for households and businesses across these islands.
Britons facing ‘austerity’ budget as a direct result of decision to leave Europe, former Bank of England adviser says
New research by the London School of Economics (LSE) has revealed that British households have incurred a £7 billion ($8 billion) cost since Brexit due to trade barriers affecting food imports from the EU.
Brian Reade marks the third anniversary of leaving the EU by lamenting the huge cost the country has suffered as a result.
Speaking on LBC's Tonight with Andrew Marr, the former Chancellor implied that he still felt Brexit was the wrong decision after having stood firmly against it during 2016's referendum.
But so far, it’s not looking good: a hit to trade of this size entails big structural changes to the British economy, with capital and workers being shifted between sectors of the economy, businesses going bust, and higher prices for imports eroding living standards.
THE Tories’ chaotic Brexit project has already cost Scotland £3.94 billion, according to a new report from experts at Warwick University.
Brexit has already cost Scotland's economy £3.94billion, we deserve better - Drew Hendry MP
24/12/2021
As we count down to Christmas, let’s reflect on the impact Boris Johnson’s hard Brexit has had on Scotland and the UK.
Brexit has already cost £11.5billion in trade, Centre for European Reform think tank estimates
13/04/2021
Brexit has delivered a £11.5 billion blow to the UK’s trade in goods since the 2016 referendum, a leading think tank said today.
Brexit is now the Conservative Party’s sacred cow. Not so much policy as religious faith. The merest hint of criticism is regarded as apostasy by a party dangerously in thrall to an agenda that threatens to shatter the United Kingdom and leave England stuck in a permanent economic slow lane, isolated from its neighbours and friendless in an uncertain world.
Despite the promise leaving the EU would help the UK control its borders, most people surveyed said Brexit had hampered the ability to control immigration.
Trade friction has ‘clear and robust’ impact on supermarket prices, say economists.
The Centre for European Reform (CER) estimates that leaving the single market and customs union at the end of 2020 has reduced UK trade by £7.7billion, or 11%, since March.
Hospitality entrepreneur and leave campaigner Luke Johnson has admitted that Brexit has cost the UK economy growth.
In reality, Brexit has hobbled the UK economy, which remains the only member of the G7 — the group of advanced economies that also includes Canada, France, Germany, Italy, Japan and the United States — with an economy smaller than it was before the pandemic.
System working ‘broadly as Leave advocates promised’, say think tanks’ report. / Post-Brexit immigration rules have led to a shortfall of around 330,000 workers in the UK and had helped fuel inflation, according to top economists.
Brexit has damaged Britain’s competitiveness, and will make us poorer in the decade ahead
22/06/2022
Brexit has not had the expected effect of narrowly reducing exports to the EU, but has instead more broadly reduced how open and competitive Britain’s economy is, which will reduce productivity and wages in the decade ahead, according to new joint Resolution Foundation and LSE research.
The UK's economy is 5% smaller than it would have been if it had chosen to stay in the European Union, according to an analysis by Goldman Sachs.
Dave Ramsden said the 2016 referendum had contributed to a lower “speed limit” for the UK economy compared to other nations.
The report by The UK in a Changing Europe, published on Monday, assesses Brexit’s actual and future effects on inflation, productivity, public finances, and exports and imports.
Chancellor Jeremy Hunt has accepted that Brexit has imposed “costs” on the UK, but insisted he did not believe EU withdrawal would make Britain poorer in the long run.
Economists at Natixis are trying to examine the effects on the UK economy of the June 2016 referendum that triggered Brexit. They look at the different important variables and seek to determine what the overall effect of Brexit has been on the United Kingdom.
Brexit has left the UK economy 5.5% smaller than it would have been and added to the squeeze on public services that’s behind strikes crippling the railways and National Health Service, a prominent research group concluded.
Brexit has reduced the competitiveness of the British economy, with alarming implications for productivity and wages, according to the Resolution Foundation.
Jeremy Hunt’s comments show how far we are from a rational debate about the economic consequences of leaving the EU.
The OBR forecast that Brexit would cost the UK economy 4% of GDP now looks ridiculously optimistic as the damage mounts.
Wonder what happened to 'let's fund our NHS instead?' / New research has found Brexit has cost the UK government £40 billion a year in lost tax revenue.
Jeremy Hunt’s budget shows that leaving the EU is only paying off in a parallel universe.
The Office for Budget Responsibility suggested leaving the EU would reduce the UK's long-term GDP by around 4% - compared to 2% for the pandemic and lockdowns.
Effects will continue to drag on economy for years to come, says Andrew Sentance. / Britain’s economy is trapped in “no-man’s land” by Brexit and the next decade could be the weakest for growth since the second world war, a former senior Bank of England policymaker has warned.
Thierry Breton, who is also single market commissioner, believes downsides of leaving bloc are exposed by pandemic
London, at the heart of the UK’s service sector economy, may lose up to £9.5bn in economic output a year from Brexit.
The hits to Britain's economy from Brexit are probably appearing faster than expected, Bank of England Deputy Governor Ben Broadbent said on Thursday.
Brexit hitting UK economy and damage set to worsen with new trade barriers, Budget watchdog warns
07/03/2024
Brexit is dragging down the economy and its impact is set to get worse due to new trade barriers, the Government’s Budget watchdog is warning.
GIVEN the ruling Conservatives’ seeming penchant for pulling the wool over the electorate’s eyes on Brexit, it was heartening last week to hear Mark Carney deliver some home truths.
When the bell tolls at eleven o’clock tonight, ringing out Britain’s membership of the EU, an entire phase of British history will come to a close. For nearly half a century – from 1973 to 2020 – perhaps the single most important fact about British history was its membership of the European Union (or ‘Community’, until 1993).
UK economy could be comparable to “Slovakia” in 10 years - says economist Duncan Weldon. / Will Dunn is joined by Duncan Weldon ... The two discuss the “uniquely” bad situation of the British economy, what role Brexit played in getting us here...
Securing any EU trade deal and regional development in the UK are steep challenges.
As Prime Minister Boris Johnson prepares to depart Downing Street, tossed from office by his own party, his legacy — the opening lines of his eventual obituary — will call him the man who “got Brexit done.” / So how is that going? What can be said about the post-Brexit Britain that Johnson is leaving behind?
Brexit Is COLLAPSING [12 mins]
17/05/2023
We were promised sunny uplands and a oven ready deal: instead we've been served extra helpings of cow excrement. As Nigel Farage admits Brexit is a disaster, car manufacturers threaten to walk and Keir Starmer calls for a renegotiation, it's time to accept reality.
Brexit is costing the economy dear, no matter what 'Brexit Opportunities Minister' Jacob Rees-Mogg says – Angus Robertson MSP
28/03/2022
“Brexit Opportunities Minister”. How about that for a contradiction in terms? Yet, this is a genuine post created for the oft-called “Member of Parliament for the 18th Century”, Jacob Rees-Mogg.
Brexit is costing the UK economy £100 billion a year ($124 billion), with the effects spanning everything from business investment to the ability of companies to hire workers.
Poll also shows that more than half believe it is affecting shop prices, as experts forecast it is likely to be twice as costly as Covid.
Labour said the warning underlines the need for a ‘more productive’ relationship with Brussels following Britain’s withdrawal from the EU.
EU withdrawal fuelling higher import costs and costing British workers nearly £500 a year, says Resolution Foundation.
The International Monetary Fund ruffled feathers across the Irish Sea with its new forecast for the UK economy this week, now expecting GDP growth to slow to a paltry 1.2pc in 2023, by far the slowest amongst the G7 economies.
Brexit is ‘the elephant in the room of British politics’, Ed Davey says as he takes aim at Tories and Labour
19/03/2023
The Liberal Democrat leader accused the two main parties of avoiding confronting the economic impacts of Britain’s departure from the EU.
Brexit isn't working - nor is Boris Johnson's Britain | Ivan Rogers interview | The New Statesman [37 mins]
24/06/2022
The former UK Ambassador to the EU, Ivan Rogers, explains why even Brexiteers are dismayed over Brexit.
Home-grown problems shave 0.2 per cent off UK GDP, while euro zone economy grows by the same amount.
The UK economy rediscovered a reverse gear in January as renewed coronavirus lockdowns knocked output while trade suffered a Brexit hit, according to official figures.
Center for European Reform says departing the EU single market reduced investment by 11 per cent and goods trade by seven per cent in the second quarter of 2022.
Manabu Tamaru is shorting UK bond futures on expectations the nation will continue paying a hefty inflationary price for its divorce from the European Union.
Rees-Mogg’s efforts to reap economic benefits from Brexit has come up woefully short.
The five key metrics are not pointing to anything good.
Brexit plan to slash tariffs after no-deal condemned as 'madness' and 'sledgehammer for UK economy'
13/03/2019
Slashing tariffs to zero on the majority of UK imports in the event of a no-deal Brexit will be a “sledgehammer for the economy” and deliver a widespread shock across the country, business groups have warned.
Exporters forced to fill in 48 million customs declarations and 140,000 health certificates over eight-month period.
Brexit red tape onslaught deepens as UK economy loses £47bn because businesses drown in cross-border tax complexities
18/05/2022
Cross-border tax complexities cost the UK economy £47.6bn in lost revenue last year, an average revenue loss of 16 per cent on total EU exports, according to fresh industry data shared with City A.M. this morning.
Research released today (19 October 2022) by the ESRI shows reductions in UK to EU goods trade by 16% and trade from the EU to UK by 20% relative to the scenario in which Brexit had not occurred.
Brexit reduces the UK’s overall output by 4% compared to if the country had remained in the EU, an expert has said.
Brexit regret: Why the ‘undeniable disaster’ finally hit home with the British public in 2022
01/01/2023
Public opinion shifted against Brexit after a deluge of damning evidence on economic costs.
Brexit Republic - Ep. 19
29/11/2018
A slew of UK economic forecasts depending on a Withdrawal Agreement, or a No Deal Brexit. How are the numbers looking for UK PM Theresa May in the House of Commons for that crucial vote on December 11? And what does Norway Plus mean?
Stockpiling ahead of Brexit was one of the main reasons for the Scottish economy growing.
BREXIT is set to cost the UK between £2 and £4 billion in lost food exports across its first full year out of the European Union.
The capital’s service sectors will bear the brunt of a downturn, according to a study published by the Mayor of London, Sadiq Khan.
Brexit is to blame for the Dover travel misery blighting Britons’ Easter holiday trips to the Continent, a senior Tory MP said on Monday.
Brexit to blame for soaring inflation, former Bank of England boss says: ‘We told you so’
18/06/2023
Mark Carney says there is ‘no joy’ in laying this out as ‘people are having to live with that reality’.
Brexit to slash 0.5% from GDP in the first quarter, Office for Budget Responsibility says
03/03/2021
Disruption at Dover blamed for hit to UK supply chains.
Damage will be four times greater than hit to EU, study says - after Boris Johnson refused to carry out his own.
Brexit trade war would have ‘immediate and devastating’ impact on UK economy, industry warns
15/11/2021
Business chiefs and economists say huge disruption lies ahead if Downing Street triggers Article 16.
Every now and then there are weeks when Brexit issues surge back to the foreground, and this has been one of them.
Brexit is fuelling Britain's cost of living crisis, according to the former Deputy Governor at the Bank of England Sir Charlie Bean. / Interviewed by BBC Radio 4 on Thursday, the economist said inflation appeared to be "worse" in Britain compared to other European countries.
SINCE the EU referendum in 2016, there have been largely negative effects to the UK services trade, according to new research.
The former chancellor said Vote Leave misled people by saying the UK would be better off in financial terms outside of the EU.
The impact of Brexit on people’s earnings could be ‘substantial’, say experts. / Millions of workers in Britain will be about £1,300 worse off a year due to Brexit, leading experts have said.
LSE report says even sectors unscathed from coronavirus crisis will be severely impacted.
Immediately after the referendum, sterling depreciated. This brought forward the impact on household incomes of what would otherwise be a slow burn change for the UK economy.
Former Siemens chief Juergen Maier says disruption will last at least six months even if trade deal is reached
Three years on, we are covered in the scars of what it has done to this country.
Real pay set to be £470 lower per worker each year, say top economists. / “We can’t blame Brexit for all of the 5.2 per cent GDP shortfall … but it’s apparent that Brexit is largely to blame,” said John Springford, author of the CEF study.
According to the Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR), shortages across various industries have been “exacerbated” by new immigration rules for EU citizens and trade barriers with the bloc.
From the outside, nothing much has changed yet. From the inside, however, the UK has undergone a radical and at times ugly transformation. The June 2016 referendum has helped set off a chain of events that has impacted many aspects of life in the country.
Every negative consequence of Brexit for the UK and the clear advantage for the EU is alerting the British public to the realities of Boris Johnson’s deal. As investment slows and jobs go elsewhere there will only be one person to blame – Boris Johnson.
5.2% GDP shortfall ‘mostly’ down to Britain’s exit from EU, according to top think tank.
Former Bank of England policy maker Michael Saunders said Britain’s exit from the European Union one of the reasons why the UK is now entering a period of austerity.
Brexit “slammed the brake on UK investment”, SNP economy spokesperson Stewart Hosie has said. / Responding to Chancellor Jeremy Hunt's Spring Budget, Mr Hosie argued the UK economy was “one of the weakest” in the G7.
Brexit will be more harmful for the UK’s economy than Covid-19, the official public finance forecaster predicted.
Brexiters are often accused of living in the past. That is manifest in the now recurring Brexiter response to concerns about Brexit: ‘but we did perfectly well before’.
Brexit, two years on – so far, so bad
31/01/2023
31 January marks the two-year anniversary of the UK’s official withdrawal from the EU. Investment Monitor examines how hard Brexit has hit the UK economy so far.
THE UK is set to see a sharp slowdown in economic growth as mounting supply chain crisis and staff shortages, largely blamed on Brexit, threaten to derail Britain’s recovery, according to a major business group.
Six years after the UK voted to leave the EU, and two years since we officially left the trading bloc, Brexit has reared its head yet again this week.
Steady ‘erosion’ in support for Brexit amid economic gloom, says Prof John Curtice.
Brexit: despatches from the downside – No 24
01/03/2024
In this week's Brexit downsides, extra food labelling costing up to £250mn, a huge drop in overseas students, veterinary shortages in NI, and more.
Brexit: despatches from the downside – No 30
12/04/2024
The stock exchange ‘going down the gurgler’, a ‘hammer blow’ to the food industry, married Britons punished, and some rare Brexit upsides
Brexit: despatches from the downside – No 9
17/11/2023
Your weekly update from the Brexit ‘downside bunker’, chronicling the downsides, and occasional upsides, of Brexit.
The British economy is beginning to understand what it is to be tipped over the cliff edge. Cries of alarm and distress flares are going up across the length and breadth of the country, and from industries as diverse as fishing and finance and from pigs to paint.
Northern Ireland will be the UK regional economy least impacted by Brexit, partially due to the NI Protocol, new analysis has suggested.
Six years after the referendum on June 23, 2016, if we put aside the profound political consequences – a divided England, Scotland and Northern Ireland pulling away, a more isolated country – what is the economic toll?
Brexit: The economic impact a year on
21/12/2021
Twelve months since the trade deal with which Britain left the European Union, what impact has it had on the economy? Covid makes it impossible to be sure, but it's much harder to spot Brexit benefits than costs.
Brexit: The scorecard two years on
02/01/2023
So how is it going? In economic terms, the past year has helped differentiate the impact of Covid from the impact of Brexit. / Doing so has exposed a hefty price being paid by many firms, as well as public service employment, for dislocation of Britain from its nearest neighbour's trading bloc.
This is your gentle reminder that in five weeks the economy will go into full cardiac arrest. It will be the worst economic disaster in modern British history. The country will seize up in the short term and decay in the long term. Jobs and lives will be destroyed overnight.
Brexit: UK economy 4% lower than if it remained in European Union, says Office for Budget Responsibility chairman
26/03/2023
The economy is 4 per cent lower than if the UK had remained in the European Union, the chairman of the Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR) has said.
FT economics editor Chris Giles explains the assumptions behind post-Brexit scenarios from the UK government and Bank of England suggesting citizens will be thousands of pounds worse off than if the UK had stayed in the EU.
Brexit’s Economic Damage Is Getting Real
09/10/2018
The costs of Brexit are growing, and that dividend is still elusive. / As Britain’s negotiations to leave the European Union enter their crunch moment, let’s be clear on one thing: The EU doesn’t need to punish Britain for leaving; the referendum did that just fine.
Boris Johnson probably wouldn’t have won many votes if he had campaigned on a slogan of ‘Brexit will make Ireland richer’, but that is precisely what his “oven ready” deal has done by making Britain less attractive to investment and less competitive in trade.
The UK will be stuck with searing inflation for years because of Brexit, according to strategists at Wall Street’s top banks.
Wages are worth less as direct result of departure from EU, says Monetary Policy Committe member. / Brexit has added 6 per cent to UK food prices, a Bank of England official has said as inflation hit a 41-year high.
Brexodus: Where have all the workers gone?
26/01/2023
The consequences of ending the free movement of people between Britain and the EU are becoming painfully clear.
Credit ratings agency Standard and Poor suggested that since the June 2016 vote, 3% has been shaved off GDP. That equates to ‘foregone economic activity’ of £6.6billion in each of the 10 quarters since the referendum, or £66 billion, the agency said.
Less than two weeks after her government plunged the markets into crisis with a disastrous budget, Prime Minister Liz Truss used her closing speech at the Conservative Party conference to blame the meltdown on a nebulous anti-growth coalition.
GDP shows negative growth for first time in nearly 7 years.
Britain is falling behind, thanks to Brexit
30/03/2023
Britain led the first industrial revolution, but Europe will lead the next.
Brexit is a Tory invention and pro-Europeans must still fight the prospect of EU exile, writes Will Hutton.
The UK debate about Brexit’s impact on the economy has ranged from non-existent to unserious. Labour is avoiding the subject, to try to regain lost voters in pro-Brexit constituencies, and the government immediately changes the subject to vaccines or free trade deals.
Britain’s exit from the European Union will cost the bloc around 0.5% of economic growth over the next 24 months, but Brexit will be more than four times more painful for the United Kingdom, the European Commission said on Thursday.
Britain's economic recovery from coronavirus will be slowed for two years by Brexit, EU forecasts
06/11/2020
Businesses will have to adjust to new trading conditions in the middle of a pandemic.
HSBC, Barclays, Lloyds and NatWest have strong capital buffers but their exposure to U.K. consumers and Brexit is taking a heavy toll.
Boris Johnson’s government faces deep economic problems. / UK lagging behind major peers on productivity and investment. / “... From a 16% devaluation of the pound to an eye-watering slide in trade and investment, Brexit’s impact is plain to see. The data have only reinforced our view that life outside of the EU would leave the UK worse off.”
With its economy in tatters, England is not having its finest hour. It is a time of transition for the United Kingdom... /
Britain’s economy is forecast to shrink by 0.4% in 2023, more than any other in the Group of Seven richest nations, according to the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD). Britain is the only G-7 member whose economy has yet to return to pre-pandemic levels.
British Steel is the canary in the coal mine - we need to prepare now for the Brexit threat to jobs
22/05/2019
The announcement that British Steel is to enter insolvency is the latest example of how uncertainty over Brexit is threatening livelihoods across the country. This does not just affect the 5,000 workers at Scunthorpe, but also a support staff of 20,000 across the whole supply chain. / Sadly, many other firms face the same danger ...
As evidence mounts of the long-term harm being inflicted on the U.K. economy by Brexit, the government is coming under pressure to acknowledge the elephant in the room.
‘Prepare for the worst’ EU officials tell business after Sajid Javid’s FT interview.
The clip was filmed in 2018 as part of a three-part documentary on the US embassy called Inside the American Embassy.
Bureaucratic Brexit checks have begun and are hitting British businesses when they’re at their most vulnerable
06/01/2022
Inflation is rising, worker shortages are grinding us down and consumers are hurting, but No.10 is introducing measures which will make the situation worse
Sky's Paul Kelso, at the CBI's annual conference, says there is a clear message that Brexit isn't working for business and the government is failing to deliver policies that will help growth recover.
CBI appeals to Tory MPs to shift position to avoid a no-deal Brexit, or risk further harm to the economy.
A North East business leader who wrote to the Prime Minister a fortnight ago asking him to tackle problems caused by Brexit said he is yet to receive a reply.
"The UK chose Brexit in a referendum, but the government then chose a particularly hard form of Brexit, which maximized the economic cost."
An Ipsos poll suggests that most people think Brexit is going worse than expected.
BVTV: Brexit fantasy ends
08/07/2022
The idea of Brexit as a force for reordering British society expired with Boris Johnson’s resignation speech, Peter Thal Larsen says.
Cabinet minister in ‘complete denial’ over Brexit harm to Britain’s economy which experts put at £31 billion
13/06/2022
Treasury silent on damage being caused by Brexit to Britain’s economy and Bank of England accused of being reluctant to talk about it.
Former Bank of England governor Mark Carney has doubled down on his claims Brexit has taken a toll on the pound and sparked higher inflation.
Industry group and union body join forces to demand Theresa May changes approach. / Britain’s foremost trade union body and industry lobby group have joined forces to demand Theresa May urgently changes her approach to Brexit, warning the country now faces a national emergency.
Carolyn Fairbairn says the UK economy is in ‘suspended animation’ while issue remain unresolved.
Any form of Brexit will be damaging for the Republic, the Governor of the Central Bank has said.
The Central Bank has warned that a no-deal Brexit could reduce the growth rate of the Irish economy by up to 4% this year.
CER podcast: The cost of Brexit to June 2018
24/10/2018
The UK economy is 2.5 per cent smaller as a result of the vote to leave the EU. John Springford talks to Beth Oppenheim about his latest analysis, how he has refined his modelling method and the implications of the findings.
CER podcast: What is the cost of Brexit?
01/08/2018
The UK economy is around 2 per cent smaller as a result of the vote to leave the EU. John Springford speaks to Sophia Besch about his analysis, his modelling method and the implications of the result.
CER: What's the cost of Brexit so far?
23/06/2018
New analysis by the CER – which we will update quarterly – estimates that the UK economy is 2.1 per cent smaller as a result of the vote to leave the EU. The knock-on hit to the public finances is now £23 billion per annum – or £440 million a week.
Chancellor refuses to publish analysis of economic damage from Boris Johnson's deal before MPs vote
18/10/2019
Treasury committee head suggests it means ‘existing analysis stands’ – of a £130bn hit from loss of frictionless trade with EU.
Talks between Tories and Labour have collapsed and the focus at Westminster remains inward. / It hasn’t gone away, you know. Brexit has been on a bit of a media break over the last month or two since EU leaders agreed to extend the UK’s departure until October 30th, while leaving the option open of an earlier date.
The UK economy has been forecast to suffer an over £700bn blow to output due to the collision of Covid-19 and Brexit, the National Institute of Economic and Social Research warned today.
It comes after Rishi Sunak reiterated his commitment to Brexit, amid reports the government could be seeking a closer "Swiss-style" deal with the EU.
Speaking to Sky News, a former British ambassador to Japan noted the impact of Brexit, saying many companies are maintaining a presence in the UK, but moving the bulk of their operations to Europe. / Asked about the former ambassador's assertion, Labour's shadow environment secretary Jim McMahon told Kay Burley: "To some degree, it's a natural consequence of leaving the single market."
The United Kingdom has passed the point of no return. It has less than six months to reach a new trade deal with the European Union or risk heaping more pressure on companies that are already laying off tens of thousands of workers because of the coronavirus pandemic.
BREXIT secretary Michael Russell says failing to halt the exit from the EU during the coronavirus pandemic will leave the UK facing an “economic Stone Age” while the rest of Europe recovers.
Had we stayed in the EU, the UK’s tottering economy would’ve stood a chance in the post-lockdown world. Along with the virus, the aftershocks of poor leadership will keep us reeling for generations.
The costs of Brexit continue to mount - and they dwarf what Boris Johnson has set aside for "levelling up" in the regions.
Household incomes are around £1,500 year lower today than they were expected to be before the Brexit referendum – with the UK having experienced the sharpest income growth slowdown of any economy for which the OECD publish data.
As the pandemic recedes, the negative impacts of Brexit will become clearer and its political effects more unpredictable.
CPTPP will not make up for Brexit
16/04/2023
The UK’S membership of the Comprehensive and Progressive Agreement for Trans-Pacific Partnership offers little gain for the British economy.
Damaging legacy of Brexit - GOV.SCOT
24/06/2021
The harm done to Scotland’s economy, trade, population, education and governance by Brexit is becoming increasingly clear, a new paper finds.
Brexit and its “devastating” impact on supply chains, especially for food, sets the UK apart from "every other country", a leading economist has declared.
The UK looks set for a recession and a longer battle with inflation than many of its neighbours. This is why.
Debunking the paper championed by Jacob Rees Mogg claiming a no-deal Brexit would boost the economy
11/09/2018
The Brexit debate deserves so much better than Economists for Free Trade’s latest offering. Their paper, championed by Jacob Rees-Mogg, tries to make the case for leaving the EU without a deal and trading under World Trade Organization rules.
Deep integration and trade: UK firms in the wake of Brexit - Centre for Economic Performance
01/12/2024
How does dismantling deep integration affect international trade? This paper provides new evidence on the consequences of disintegration by estimating the impact of Brexit on goods trade by UK firms. The UK’s exit from the EU’s single market and customs union in January 2021 led to an immediate, sharp drop in both exports and imports with the EU for the average firm.
In this week's update from ‘downside bunker’, more evidence emerges that Britain has effectively declared a trade war on itself.
uthorities fear that new border checks introduced following a no-deal Brexit will slow down traffic through the nearby port of Cairnryan
Political distance from Brussels has been achieved. This is not up for question. However, economically speaking, there is vast room for improvement. The OBR calculates, in its current form, that Brexit is reducing our GDP by four per cent. This compares to around 1.5 per cent caused by Covid.
Early signs of disruption caused by the UK's departure from the European Union are emerging in economic data.
Economic growth shudders to a halt as manufacturing slides in last GDP update before the general election
10/12/2019
Last update before Thursday's election reveals flat growth in the UK's GDP for October and the last quarter
THE economic impact of Brexit and food checks at the Irish Sea border will be examined by a new commission made up of business leaders, MPs and economists.
Economist says without Brexit we ‘wouldn’t be talking about an austerity budget this week’
14/11/2022
"The need for tax rises and spending cuts wouldn't be there if Brexit hadn't reduced the economy's potential output so much."
Experts from the Institute for Fiscal Studies, the Resolution Foundation and others agreed Kwasi Kwarteng’s unfunded tax cuts played a role.
A Brexit involving staying in the customs union would leave the UK £80bn worse off a year than if it had remained in the EU, a report says. / The National Institute of Economic and Social Research (NIESR) said tax income would fall by £13bn a year.
Latest no-deal notice forecasts Northern Ireland to be hit hard and food prices likely to rise.
70,000 city jobs in at-risk sectors.
Editorial: The UK’s six-year Brexit hangover
05/01/2023
There's little talk of reversing the decision, but evidence of Brexit-induced harm is piling up.
An exclusive poll for i shows that firms feel the Government had not done enough to support them through Brexit.
Manufacturers warn of ‘devastating price war’ on consumers if tariffs are enforced in 2024.
A new report from the Economic and Social Research Institute (ESRI) shows that trade between the UK and the EU has declined since Brexit.
EU confidence that the UK would come out far worse is bad news for Tory leadership candidates planning brinkmanship. / EU officials are working on the basis that the UK’s economy will be hit up to 10 times as hard by a no-deal Brexit than the UK, the latest analysis by the European Commission shows.
The European Parliament has commissioned dozens of impact assessments or studies on Brexit from experts, across a broad range of policy areas, which are publicly available online. This webpage will be regularly updated to include further relevant publications.
The European Commission said on Monday it had approved a 50 billion pound British “umbrella” scheme to support companies affected by coronavirus outbreak.
It comes as the bloc committed €5 billion to protect its member states from adverse economic effects caused by Britain's split.
European Union Trade Commissioner Phil Hogan said the U.K. will have “full responsibility” for any damage to the British economy after the post-Brexit transition expires...
Budget chief linked £39bn divorce bill to UK retaining beneficial relationship with bloc. / A UK government led by Boris Johnson could not be dragged through the courts if it refused to pay the country’s multibillion-pound Brexit bill, the EU’s German budget chief has admitted, but Britain’s economy, security and universities would be made to suffer.
European Commission vice-president says Brussels wants to get ‘Brexit done’ – while London refuses to talk about Northern Ireland.
When the most anti-EU newspapers are pointing to the policy’s inevitable failures, it’s time our government admitted the truth.
The prime minister’s exit not only disgraces him and his party – it indicts the fast-unravelling project that brought him to No 10.
Former Bank of England governor, Mark Carney said that the fall in the pound and shrinking economy after the UK left the European Union, Brexit, had added to “inflationary pressure”.
Ex-Conservative cabinet ministers hint at rejecting Boris Johnson's new plan over 'hit to manufacturing'
15/10/2019
David Gauke warns of 'an unnecessarily high economic price' - while Amber Rudd highlights less 'support for the economy' than Theresa May's doomed deal.
THE former CEO of Sainsbury’s has been clear about what initially caused the cost of living crisis – telling Sky News that Brexit is to blame.
Former Conservative Party chairman says on BBC Question "this is a word one isn’t supposed to use anymore" in attack on UK's problems.
We may have had enough of experts, or Michael Gove has at least, but one has just explained how disastrous Brexit has been and makes a compelling case.
BREXIT-related factors are still being flagged by UK companies as a cause of lost business from overseas, a senior economist has declared.
What do the experts say about Brexit? How would Britain's place in the world change if we voted to leave Europe? Here's independent Oxford University economist Professor Sir Paul Collier from the Blavatnik School of Government talking about the risks of Brexit.
Fall of 40.7% comes as UK economy in January shrinks by most since first wave of Covid pandemic.
After a February meeting between U.K. Prime Minister Theresa May and 19 Japanese business chiefs, Tokyo’s ambassador to Britain warned what might happen if Brexit took an unfavorable turn for foreign investors.
THE CLAIM: "Any country joining the European Union must have a fiscal deficit at 3% or below. With the Scottish deficit at almost 8% the SNP must outline how Scotland could join the European Union as an independent country."
John Cole explores the government's response to a petition calling for an enquiry into the impact of Brexit before it's debated in parliament.
Boris Johnson, the front-runner to be Britain’s next prime minister, has raised the prospect of a shock for the world’s fifth-biggest economy by pledging to leave the European Union on Oct. 31 without a transition deal if necessary.
Accountancy firm warns of stalled economic recovery without EU trade agreement.
Falkland Islands Government submission to the Foreign Affairs Select Committee on the issue of the EU Referendum [doc]
01/04/2016
We would like to state in clear terms that any material change that results in less beneficial import/export access to the European market could be potentially catastrophic for the Falkland Islands’ economy and people.
Falkland Islands Government warns about the negative impact of an EU Brexit on the Falklands' economy
... a cross-party report on the UK's membership of the European Union (EU) in advance of the UK referendum on 23 June. This revealed that the Falkland Islands Government (FIG) had submitted a paper raising concerns about the negative implications for the Falkland Islands' economy and people of a UK withdrawal from the EU.
The UK has experienced a sharp slowdown in income growth while inflation has risen, warns the Resolution Foundation think tank.
Brexit remains mired in fantasy and nothing will change until somebody manages to make connections to economic reality.
An honest assessment of Brexit from Fareed Zakaria of CNN... "On virtually every measure, from business investment to exports to employment Britain is falling behind its peers."
Firms are "banging their heads against the wall" two years after post-Brexit trading began, a new report suggests. / The British Chambers of Commerce (BCC) said businesses were still grappling with EU trading arrangements and more red tape.
Early signs of disruption caused by Britain’s shift to its new, less open trading relationship with the European Union are emerging in economic data.
Fisheries is such a major issue in the UK-EU negotiations and a trade deal could be scuppered if an agreement is not reached between the two sides, a new academic report finds. / This is despite the fact that fishing represents only 0.1 per cent of UK gross value added (GVA) and for most EU member states, fishing amounts to 0.1% or less of their economic output.
ONS figures show GDP fell by 0.3 per cent in April, with all three main sectors suffering a fall in output for the first time since January 2021.
Flintshire and Wrexham: Brexit trade impact could see Wrexham and Flintshire economies lose £300m a year
08/03/2021
BREXIT could cost the economies of Wrexham and Flintshire as much as £300m a year, new research suggests.
NICOLA Sturgeon was completely unimpressed as a Tory MSP suggested Brexit has nothing to do with the Scottish Parliament during FMQs.
Scotland's food and drink industry is warning of price rises and potential shortages when new Brexit rules on imports come into force in April.
Mark Carney, who ran the central bank until March 2020, said the UK’s decision to leave the EU had devalued the pound which put upward pressure on inflation.
Britain has got poorer because of Brexit, former chancellor Philip Hammond has admitted.
Bruno Le Maire is the French opposite number to chancellor Kwasi Kwarteng.
The government is exploring a controversial further delay to post-Brexit checks on imports from the EU because of growing alarm that they will exacerbate the cost of living crisis.
As the economic harm that it has done becomes ever clearer, all but the most die-hard Tory Brexiteers are increasingly prepared to admit that Brexit was a mistake. Trade with the Europe has slumped, productivity is down, and there are 4,000 fewer European doctors working in the NHS.
"Investors have got the message. Britain is not the bet it once was." / The Bank of England was forced to step in yesterday to prevent mass insolvencies of pension funds.
Stopping Brexit will deliver a £50bn "Remain bonus" for public services over the next five years, Liberal Democrat leader Jo Swinson will say later.
The former chancellor said the Conservatives, Labour and national broadcasters "won’t talk about it", but the split with the EU is to blame.
Brexit has already cost the UK economy almost £70bn – the equivalent of £440m a week or £840 for every household in the country each year – according to a new report from the Centre for European Reform released today.
Ex-prime minister warns of “an unprecedented economic calamity precipitated by a no-deal exit from the EU”.
The Government has been accused of refusing to publish more than 50 “secret” studies in the impact of Brexit – for fear they could cause embarrassment to ministers.
Great Brexit Con Job
13/04/2021
Get Brexit Done’ has unravelled in a spectacular fashion; a significant knock to the economy, removal of rights and freedoms, more red tape for business and – the most heart-breaking of all – trouble has returned to Northern Ireland. The obvious answer to this foreseeable problem is for the UK to be part of the single market and customs union.
It would take just a few to say that it is a "bit of a mess and we are going to have to work together to solve it" to get Britain back on track. / “I thought Brexit was frankly completely nuts,” he said.
Chancellor rubbishes claim by Boris Johnson ally that no-deal exit could boost economy by £80bn.
Frances O'Grady uses speech in North East to warn of effects of bad Brexit.
Economists tell us Brexit will have a substantial economic impact on our lives. But how would ordinary people experience them? Ben Chu looks at the possible impact on wages, benefits and taxes.
Economists tell us Brexit will have a substantial economic impact on our lives. But how would ordinary people experience them?
Try and find an instance of the market reacting to tax cuts anywhere else on Earth the way it reacted to the UK’s mere mention of such a simple policy. The market usually loves tax cuts. Not this time. Why?
Higher prices likely in a post-Brexit world
15/05/2018
Food prices are set to rocket once the UK leaves EU, according to John Glen, economist at the Chartered Institute of Procurement & Supply.
Brexit and its devastating impact on supply chains, especially for food, is what sets the UK apart from every other country.
FORMER US presidential candidate Hillary Clinton has highlighted the benefits of Northern Ireland’s access to both EU and UK markets.
In the months after Boris Johnson signed his post-Brexit trade deal with the European Union, the coronavirus masked the economic damage of leaving the bloc. As the pandemic drags on, the cost is becoming clearer -- and voters are noticing.
Following the vote to leave the EU in June 2016, economists set about forecasting what Brexit meant for the future of the British economy. But how accurate did those forecasts end up being?
Clues point to Britain’s 2016 vote as City suffers brutal losing streak.
How Brexit broke the UK’s fiscal credibility
12/10/2022
The UK's financial crisis is the product of years spent ignoring economists and businesses.
Brexit barriers are having a significant impact on North East small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs), hitting their exports as they struggle with regulations and red tape, a new report this week reveals. The region’s universities are another sector badly hit...
From his booklet, ‘Beyond Brexit: Liberal Politics for the Age of Identity’, Liberal Democrat leader Vince Cable explores how the UK can prosper socially and financially in the 2020s.
It is increasingly clear that Brexit is doing enormous damage to Britain’s economy. And for what, exactly?
How has Brexit changed EU-UK trade flows?
19/10/2022
This paper estimates how Brexit has affected goods trade between the United Kingdom and European Union. Using product-level trade flows between the EU and all other countries in the world as a comparison group, we find a sharp decline in trade from the UK to the EU and significant but smaller reductions in trade from the EU to the UK.
Under the UK’s new immigration system, migrants from the European Union face more restrictive rules than those from the rest of the world. The effects on overall migration numbers may be limited, but the skills and sectoral mix of migrants may look substantially different.
Dozens of companies have laid out plans to leave, yet the number of people jobless is at its lowest since the 1970s.
How Much Has Brexit Actually Cost The UK?
31/01/2020
We looked at breakdowns by analysts and the government on the money spent so far, and the estimates on what is still to come.
How much has Brexit cost the UK economy?
21/06/2023
How much has Brexit cost the UK economy? The best publicised estimate is that produced by John Springford of the Centre for European Reform, who concludes that UK GDP is currently about 5% lower than it would have been had we not voted to leave.
The average household is around £2,000 worse off. But Brexiteer politicians and much of the media are obscuring this truth.
Analysis: The UK’s revised-down Q3 figures should come as no surprise given business has been in second gear since 2016.
CPTPP member countries have a combined population of 500 million and GDP of £9 trillion. For reference, although the EU is a similar size, with a GDP of £11 trillion, the value of our total trade to the EU is much higher, at £557 billion.
Everyone can see that it is failing, but pretending it can work is a precondition for positions of authority.
Businesses in the services sectors face ‘major barriers’ despite trade agreement, a study suggests.
Hunt admits no-deal Brexit could be almost as damaging as 2008 financial crash – but will carry it out if necessary
02/07/2019
The admission is the starkest assessment yet of the impact of crashing out of the European Union, which both Tory leadership candidates say they are ready to do on 31 October.
Forecasts of the economic hit caused by Brexit from the UK’s budgetary watchdog are wrong, according to chancellor Jeremy Hunt.
If we are to leave the European Union we want a sensible Brexit. There’s no chance of that just now. / "Brexit has paralysed the system. It has turned Britain into a laughing stock. And it is certain to make us poorer and to lead to lower incomes and lost jobs."
Ian Blackford has urged Rishi Sunak to "admit that Brexit is a significant long-term cause of the UK economic crisis." / The Scottish National Party's Westminster leader asked when the prime minister will "finally see reality."
SNP Westminster leader Ian Blackford says Brexit is now starting to harm the UK economy. He asked if the government would negotiate an economic agreement with the EU, or if he would "wilfully push the UK into recession".
[Irish] Employers' group Ibec has warned economic growth next year could be more than halved if the UK leaves the EU without a deal.
Brexit has been an unmitigated disaster for the economy of Britain. Of course, the people responsible for it, won’t tell the truth or admit they were wrong.
The UK economy will perform worse than any major economy this year, even worse than sanctions-hit Russia.
International Monetary Fund Managing Director Christine Lagarde said Sept. 17 that leaving the European Union without a deal could hurt Britain's economy.
In Birmingham, the ‘city of a thousand trades’, Brexit is endangering a modern-day renaissance
01/04/2019
England’s second most populous city was revived by EU money but voted to leave the bloc, in a pattern that has become all too familiar, says Patrick Cockburn.
Current financial woes ‘bear out warnings of Remain side in EU referendum’.
Media outlets around the world have been documenting Britain’s Brexit ‘bregret’ as economic headwinds hit our shores.
Ireland has said it will demand hundreds of millions of euros from Brussels if there is a no-deal Brexit, amid growing fears Britain is set to crash out of the European Union without an agreement. / Ireland is likely to be hit particularly hard by a no-deal outcome, with the country’s farming industry heavily reliant on trade with the UK.
Bill readied amid concerns over impact on agriculture, food processing and transport.
Irish Examiner view: The harm done by Brexit keeps stacking up but nobody is talking about it
29/12/2022
The data suggests Britain has been severely financially hurt by Brexit but nobody in authority there seems to want to discuss it.
Irish cabinet ministers will meet on Tuesday to hear of the “dire” consequences of a no-deal Brexit on Ireland and the all-Ireland economy.
NPR's Sacha Pfeiffer talks with Financial Times political editor George Parker about the continuing effects Brexit has had on U.K. politics and the economy.
The City has been plunged into something of an existential panic in recent months. Fears of international decline have crystallised in the form of a listings drought and a crack squad of City grandees are scrambling to try and steady the ship.
Is Britain committing commercial suicide?
27/02/2020
A 19th Century trade agenda will decimate the most productive parts of the 21st Century economy.
Having been grossly misled in the referendum, Britons’ anger is mounting as the reality of our plight becomes clear.
It’s Brexit, stupid
14/11/2022
We are stuck in the Tory game of make-believe that everything is coming up roses in an English country garden. The reality is that following Brexit the rest of the world looks at England with a mixture of perplexity, pity, and amused contempt.
The cabinet minister also launched an outspoken attack on a report which said leaving the European Union had damaged the UK economy.
Japan's richest man has warned that Brexit is "practically impossible" and could take the United Kingdom back to the economic stagnation of the 1970s when the country was often described as the "sick man of Europe."
Chancellor Jeremy Hunt blamed Brexit for years of political instability, admitting that the turmoil in government undermined Britain economically.
Jeremy Hunt recognised the cost Brexit has imposed on the United Kingdom during an interview with BBC's Laura Kuenssberg. "I don't deny there are costs to a decision like Brexit, but there are also opportunities," the chancellor said.
Johnson to override EU withdrawal agreement
06/09/2020
Move threatens to collapse talks that PM has said must be completed within weeks.
DUP isolated in backing plan, which could ‘destroy economy and Good Friday agreement’
Fishing rows notwithstanding, much of Europe looks on at the UK’s plight with astonishment – and even, still, sympathy.
The former MP for Vauxhall suggested an Irexit would soon be on the cards after the UK left the EU. How wrong she was!
Kelemen Archive: 'So many stories coming out revealing ... Brexit is turning out - just as experts had warned - to be a fiasco and an enormous act of economic self-harm for UK'
12/01/2021
So many stories coming out revealing that Brexiteers sold Brexit on lies and that reality of Brexit is turning out - just as experts had warned - to be a fiasco and an enormous act of economic self-harm for UK. I’ll keep track of some in this Brexit reality thread.
Brexit's the elephant in the room that can be avoided no longer when quitting the European Union plunges a Disunited United Kingdom deeper into economic horror.
Kevin Maguire: 'Soaring food prices and job losses are the reality of Boris Johnson's Brexit'
20/01/2020
Dire warnings from British industries after Chancellor Sajid Javid admitted businesses will be hit, exposes why the Prime Minister focuses on the trivial.
Labour pledges to ‘tear down’ barriers after new figures reveal Brexit costing UK business £37bn a year
22/03/2025
Billions of pounds worth of lost business with other European Union countries prompts calls to re-enter customs union and single market.
The leader of the GMB union said the UK ‘needs a new settlement’ with the EU as Brexit was ‘hitting trade’.
Brexit was a “historic economic error” which has hurt the UK economy and helped to drive up inflation, Larry Summers, the former US Treasury Secretary has warned.
"I am very fearful for Britain on the path that it is travelling." / Former US Treasury Secretary Larry Summers says Brexit and Liz Truss’s extreme tax cutting is turning the UK into a “submerging market”.
Ex-US Treasury chief fears for UK becoming ‘submerging market’. / “Between Brexit, how far the Bank of England got behind the curve and now these fiscal policies, I think Britain will be remembered for having pursuing the worst macroeconomic policies of any major country in a long time.”
New figures released today have revealed just how disastrous Brexit has been for the UK economy as trade data shows exports to the EU fell by almost 14 per cent.
Leading Brexiteer Peter Oborne Calls For 'Long Pause' To Leaving And Admits Economic Arguments 'Destroyed'
07/04/2019
A prominent supporter of Brexit has called for a “long pause” over quitting the European Union - and even suggested “rethinking the decision altogether”.
A review of evidence about opportunities, challenges and risks to the North East economy and its key sectors with recommendations for action.
Lessons from seven lean years of Brexit
28/04/2023
Almost seven years on from the Brexit referendum, there remains uncertainty over the future UK-EU relationship. Reflecting on the lessons from the last seven years, Neil Kinnock argues there remains a clear case for the UK being an economic, political, social, scientific and cultural part of the Europe of the future.
Liberal Democrat conference: Tear down 'Tory' trade barriers with Europe to boost economy, says Ed Davey [7 mins]
19/03/2023
Sir Ed Davey said the UK must repair its "broken relationship with Europe" to boost the economy as the Lib Dem leader set out his party's main arguments for winning seats at an election during the spring conference.
The challenges posed by the COVID-19 virus will make the effective implementation of any new legislation impossible in the short term, says FTA, the business group representing the logistics sector.
LONDON has lost its crown as Europe’s largest stock market to Paris, with France closing a trillion-dollar market gap since the 2016 Brexit vote.
The men behind Trussonomics and Brexit, the two great man-made catastrophes of recent years, are to be honoured for their ‘great work’.
Major's Foresight on Brexit [10 mins]
03/03/2023
What the former Prime Minister warned BEFORE the referendum.
Manufacturing sector shrinks as recession looms – Ports and Brexit complications made matters worse
01/09/2022
The inflationary clouds that have been building over the UK manufacturing industry have finally burst, with a dramatic fall in demand creating the sharpest reduction of new orders since May 2020.
New Tory MPs have promised to transform the region, but its greatest threat will come in days, when Britain leaves the EU.
Analysis: trade could be a drag on recovery for years to come rather than the high-octane propellent the government promised.
The former chancellor also described Liz Truss as a 'Pino' - Prime Minister in name only on the Andrew Neil Show.
Despite the UK Government's previous statements and current position, the Secretary of State for the Department of Work and Pensions, Mel Stride today confirmed that 'friction' with the EU due to Brexit has had impact on UK economy.
Former Tory grandee accuses Boris Johnson of pursuing an ‘utterly disastrous’ Brexit policy.
Michael Heseltine: Fifty years ago, we joined the EU – today, I deplore the deception of Brexit
01/01/2023
I look back to 1973 as the post-war year when Britain accepted the loss of its empire and chose a new European destiny.
"THIS was the week when the EU stubbornly refused to collapse, yet again. Two much-publicised EU crises did not turn out as the hardline Brexiteers fervently hoped."
The UK’s shift towards a more restrictive migration regime after Brexit will not deliver the “high wage” economy promised by prime minister Boris Johnson, a report shows.
George Freeman tells HuffPost UK that trading on WTO terms would be "very damaging" in the long-run.
The Government has failed to provide details of expected losses to the public finances or firms for three quarters of the Brexit legislation it has produced impact assessments for.
FOR anyone persuaded by Rishi Sunak’s recent claim that the UK has made “huge strides” with Brexit, there was an important reality check last week.
Public spat as rating agency insists Theresa May’s Florence speech has not altered big picture of likely Brexit damage to the economy.
More than 1,000 London business owners today warned that the economy faces damage even if Theresa May manages to pass her Brexit deal.
Mounting no-deal Brexit fears and uncertainty damaging economy, warns Bank boss Mark Carney
26/06/2019
Bank of England boss Mark Carney has warned that a “notable” increase in no-deal Brexit fears and ongoing uncertainty is damaging Britain’s economy.
It is an "insult" for the prime minister to describe disruption to trade across the Irish Sea border as teething problems, a DUP MP has said.
BREXIT has caused the UK economy to spin in a "downward spiral", a north-east MSP has said.
New Brexit trade agreement confirms macroeconomic cost for UK of losing EU membership - Moody's
25/01/2021
Brexit trade deal is largely lacking in areas vital to the UK economy, such as services. / The UK economic will be significantly smaller of the longer term.
Read it and weep. With no 'sunlit uplands' in sight, further research into the impact of Brexit confirms some of our worst fears.
NEW data from the Office for National Statistics reveals the true extent of Brexit’s devastating impact on the Scottish food and drink sector.
The Mayor of London, Sadiq Khan, will use a speech at Mansion House in the City of London tonight to reveal that the cost of Brexit to the UK’s economy is £140billion, according to new independent analysis.
The report came up with a scenario for growth if the UK had stayed inside the EU, and compared it to forecasts the Office for Budget Responsibility made in March last year. / Brexit has cost the UK £140bn so far, according to new analysis, and could see the nation £311bn worse off by the middle of the next decade, according to a new report.
The impact of Brexit on trade, immigration and political economy in new e-book.
The protocol could leave Northern Ireland's economy 2.6% smaller compared with a scenario in which the UK stayed in the EU, new analysis suggests.
Five years ago today, a vote took place which sent shockwaves around the world. I’m talking, of course, about the Brexit referendum.
The former UKIP leader made the surprise comment as he was presented with the mounting evidence that quitting the European Union has damaged the British economy.
No Deal Brexit Is Back With A Vengeance
09/06/2020
The political implications of a no deal outcome threaten to be every bit as significant as its economic fallout, Anand Menon and Jonathan Portes write.
The report by Scotland's chief economist makes a series of dire predictions.
Worst case forecast ‘now less severe’ but Britain could still face soaring unemployment and inflation, says governor.
The Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR) said borrowing would be almost £60bn if the UK leaves without a deal - up from £29.3bn if it does get a deal.
No-deal Brexit could see substantial number of businesses become unprofitable and trigger food shortages, Mark Carney warns
02/08/2019
‘The challenge is, particularly in food, it’s perishable, so you can’t stockpile today for demand in November,’ Carney says. / A no-deal Brexit could cause food shortages, Mark Carney has suggested, adding that job losses and business closures are also likely.
ICAEW tells MPs there could be ‘systemic’ impact on economic confidence if UK crashes out. / Britain’s next prime minister will take charge of an economy beginning to falter, as Brexit uncertainty and the mounting risk of a no deal scenario serve as a brake on growth, according to a Guardian analysis.
No-deal Brexit is ‘biggest threat in a generation’ to Northern Ireland’s economy, warns Danske Bank boss
01/02/2019
The bank's UK chief said smaller businesses, which are 'the lifeblood of the economy' will be more at risk.
No-Deal Brexit Papers: 10 Stark Warnings Amid Fears Over Food Shortages And Price Increases
26/02/2019
One-third of the most critical preparation projects are not on track for completion by March 29.
Andrew Bailey said failure to agree to deal would cause long-term damage to UK economy
No-deal Brexit will cost £22bn a year to compensate businesses, landmark analysis reveals
13/07/2019
The cost of compensating UK businesses for a no-deal Brexit will reach £22bn a year – more than half of England’s schools budget – a landmark analysis of the impact of crashing out of the EU has found.
The Office for Budget Responsibility analysed a particular type of a no-deal Brexit scenario – the less disruptive of the two presented by the IMF in April.
A no-deal Brexit would deliver an “instantaneous shock” to the British economy and could tip the UK into a recession, the Bank of England governor Mark Carney has warned.
Angela Merkel promises to push for orderly Brexit ‘to the last hour’ ahead of EU summit. / With an uncharacteristic flash of Churchillian passion, German chancellor Angela Merkel has promised to push for an orderly UK departure from the EU “to the last day, to the last hour”.
Bleak impact including higher prices in shops is revealed in OBR report accompanying Rishi Sunak's spending review.
No-deal Brexit would cause unemployment to peak at over 8 per cent next year, rather than 7.5 per cent, and knock 2 percentage points off growth, says official forecaster.
“Well, I think the long-term effects ... would be larger than the long-term effects of COVID.”
Annual growth will fall below 1% for first time in decade even with a deal, says thinktank.
Pascal Lamy, who was director general of the WTO, between 2005 and 2013, said there was a stark choice for the UK between 'minor' and 'great' trade relations with the country’s largest trading partner.
The beleaguered U.K. economy — currently experiencing what could be its deepest recession in three centuries — may need to brace for another, longer-term shock after the pandemic.
No-deal outcome to hurt every UK region with northeast England hit hardest, study predicts
22/01/2019
Areas more heavily reliant on exports and manufacturing likely to be most severely damaged, Confederation of British Industry finds.
Lords committee warns uncertainty over trading rules may add to economic damage of crisis.
With a potential trade war looming, Conservatives are stuck in an ever-more destructive disagreement over what Britain should look like outside the EU.
Northern Ireland wants stability. Tearing up the Brexit agreement will put peace and prosperity at risk
03/07/2022
The British government has chosen unilaterally to break the protocol, which it signed two years ago – but Europe stands by it.
The Covid threat to GDP is waning, but don’t expect the pain wrought by leaving the EU to subside any time soon.
One word led us here… Brexit
18/10/2022
The collapse of Liz Truss’s authority is the logical conclusion of the anti-EU cult that has wrecked Britain’s economy over the last six years. / When asked about Brexit, Carney managed to sound diplomatic while also lobbing a hand grenade. “Put it this way,” he said. “In 2016 the British economy was 90% the size of Germany’s. Now it is less than 70%.”
The sole economic modelling exercise showing material benefits for the UK from Brexit has been debunked as “doubly misleading”, further demolishing the argument that for Britain “no deal would be better than a bad deal” when it comes to the EU.
The former Conservative Deputy Prime Minister had some brutally frank comments on why the economy has struggled in recent years.
Our politicians won’t mention the B-word – but Brexit has made Britain’s economic crisis worse
17/05/2022
Our silence over the issue is compounding the problem.
Companies including Coca Cola, Norbrook Laboratories write open letter to British MPs.
The Bank of England governor also hit back at suggestions he is peddling 'Project Fear'.
Pressure mounts on Theresa May to take no-deal off the ta
Office for Budget Responsibility predicts 'negligible' effect - warning 'uncertainty' will only be lifted after 'several years'.
PIIE President Adam Posen says that the United Kingdom’s choice to close itself off from the European single market will damage Britain’s economy.
Post Brexit inflation is making UK "sick man of Europe" | Economics | The New Statesman [22 mins]
18/06/2022
A "perfect storm" of Brexit, covid and poor macroeconomic fiscal policies by the Conservatives has weakened Britain's economy and diminished the UK's standing in Europe, says economist Duncan Weldon.
Post-Brexit Britain will get squashed by the US and EU unless we get real on industrial strategy
18/05/2023
Rishi Sunak needs to grasp that ‘smart subsidy’ is what is powering our global rivals.
Former business secretary Sir Vince Cable and nearly 60 economists have warned new policies have echoes of those that contributed to the 2008 crash.
Government advisers say pandemic has highlighted vital economic contribution of migrant workers
A NEW report has shown that the UK government’s prospective Free Trade Agreements are projected to only add between 0% and 0.16% to the UK’s Gross Domestic Product, up to fifteen years after their implementation.
Non-tariff measures (NTMs) could cause major fractures in post-exit trade relations between the United Kingdom (UK) and the European Union (EU), knocking up to US$32 billion, or 14 per cent, off of UK exports to the EU, according to a new UNCTAD study.
The government has estimated a post-Brexit trade deal with the United States would boost the UK economy by 0.16% over the next 15 years.
The pound is already under pressure from fears that Britain will fail to clinch a trade deal with the European Union by the end-2020 deadline.
THE pound has fallen to its weakest level against the US dollar since 1985 amid fears the UK is heading for a lengthy recession.
Hopes for a last minute deal between Britain and the EU are fading and both sides are now preparing for the consequences of an unregulated Brexit, including higher customs duties, long delays and greater uncertainties.
“The reason the UK will have the lowest growth in the G7 next year is Brexit. We’re not going to reverse the decline until we begin to remove the barriers – economic, social, scientific – that we chose to erect with the rest of our continent. That’s not rocket science. Just say it.”
In this IPR Public Lecture, Professor of Industrial Strategy at the Aston Business School David Bailey considers what Brexit might mean for the UK automotive sector, and in turn for industrial policy in the UK.
Question Time Laughter As Tory Minister Dismisses Brexit Having Any Impact On Economic Woes
27/04/2023
"Yes it is," one member of the audience shouts back at Rachel Maclean as she says leaving the EU has "nothing to do" with the downturn. / A Conservative minister has faced ridicule after stating Brexit has “nothing to do” with the UK’s economic troubles.
Education and business leaders point to lost income for country and opportunities for students
A 0.2% contraction between April and June was weakest since fourth quarter of 2012.
'The Covid veil, now almost completely lifted, has revealed the challenges still faced by exporters struggling with customs and paperwork challenges and other Brexit constraints putting off overseas customers'
Brexit now considered a mistake by significant majority of the population as UK’s economic fortunes fade.
Economic problems driving support for reversing Brexit ‘mistake’. / Britons would now vote to rejoin the EU in a second referendum by a record 14-point margin, a new poll has found.
This week on the Brexit podcast for the reality-based community… The “staggering economic illiteracy” of Brexit cheerleader Prof Patrick Minford. Will civil servants come to Britain’s rescue? Why the European Free Trade Association Court is “less boring than it sounds”.
A new report has been published revealing that the UK’s economy could be boosted by 2.2 per cent just by more deeply aligning with the EU.
If inflation stays high, will the PM be honest enough to agree with the Bank of England that leaving the EU is partly to blame?
Aviva's senior economist, Stewart Robertson, discusses how the impact of Brexit on the economic landscape and what the future might look like now we have left the European Union.
‘We should all have expected this....he lies, he’s disorganised, he betrays almost every personal commitment’. / Rory Stewart has warned it is “very disturbing” that Boris Johnson was ever elected as prime minister when he has a record as a proven liar.
British Prime Minister Rishi Sunak says he wants to build an economy that embraces the opportunities of Brexit. / Our Analysis Editor Ros Atkins looks at Brexit’s impact on the UK economy.
Ryanair boss Michael O'Leary on Tuesday described the economic situation in Britain as a "car crash" caused by the country's vote to leave the European Union in 2016.
The London Mayor will call for greater alignment with Europe, putting him at odds with Labour leader Sir Keir Starmer.
The UK Chancellor said the Treasury would not lend support to manufacturers that favour EU rules.
John Swinney has blamed Brexit for causing a recruitment crisis in Scotland which he claims is impacting every sector of the economy.
SCOTLAND's economy has taken a major hit while Northern Ireland has outperformed the rest of the UK while staying in the EU’s single marker, Office for National Statistics (ONS) figures show.
Nicola Sturgeon says exiting the Brexit transition period at the end of the year would be "extraordinarily reckless".
Constitutional relations secretary Michael Russell warned of a 'catastrophic' recession due to Covid-19.
The economy cannot afford the 'double hit' of Covid-19's impact and a no-deal Brexit, Michael Russell warned. / The Scottish Government has urged the Prime Minister to extend the Brexit transition period by the maximum two years amid the coronavirus pandemic.
IoD and unions among groups writing to government, saying move would cause business chaos, harm rights and threaten environment.
Sir Martin Donnelly: UK trade and exports – the challenge of how British firms succeed after Brexit
28/02/2018
Sir Martin shared his insight on what challenges the Government is facing, what the Government and business should do now and how the UK seeks to forge new trading relationships outside of the European Union.
The Conservative leadership contenders are not being required to explain how they would address the devastating economic impacts of our decision to leave the EU. They should be.
Police fear the fallout from a "no-deal" Brexit could lead to "wide-scale disruption and dangers for the general public" and have warned they may not have the resources to cope.
Britain's economic recovery from the coronavirus pandemic lagged behind that of other rich nations in the July-September period, according to official data on Thursday which underscored the interest rate dilemma facing the Bank of England.
THE SNP have hit out at the UK Government’s “unacceptable” refusal to publish an impact analysis on the Brexit deal, despite having done so for other trade agreements.
SNP attack Jacob Rees-Mogg over cost of 'Brexit opportunities' job handed to him by Boris Johnson
20/07/2022
Rees-Mogg was one of the most vocal supporters of the UK leaving the European Union despite multiple warnings it would damage the economy.
SNP calls for opposition parties to back two-year Brexit transition extension due to coronavirus crisis
05/05/2020
United opposition would ‘send a powerful message to our European friends,’ says MP Ian Blackford — as ministers insist there’s no reason to change timetable.
The SNP have slammed the Tories' Brexit “obsession” as the economic impact of the UK’s withdrawal from the EU has been revealed by a new study.
The UK faces the “chilling prospect” of a no deal Brexit and a double blow to the economy because of the Government’s refusal to extend the transition period, Ian Blackford has warned.
Chris Heaton-Harris says "no", leaving the EU has not damaged the economy. / Northern Ireland Secretary Chris Heaton-Harris was left struggling to defend the economic case for Brexit, after being put on the spot by Sky News’ Sophy Ridge.
Speech on the Retained EU Law bill by Alyn Smith : "If you will do this damn silly thing, don't do it in this damn silly way." [3 mins]
18/01/2023
"If you will do this damn silly thing, don't do it in this damn silly way. This bill will come back to haunt this gov't, in the same way so many other mistakes, harrumphed to the rafters in this House, have."
Spiralling inflation, crops left in the field and travel chaos: 10 reasons Brexit has been disastrous for Britain
03/02/2022
As small businesses crumble, shelves get emptier and the care-worker shortage intensifies, life outside the EU is having a dire effect on many of us. Why aren’t politicians talking about it?
Several senior figures within the Labour Party have ripped into the impact of Brexit this week - and Keir Starmer has also had his say.
STERLING took a hit today as currency traders digested the latest economic figures which suggest the chance of the UK falling into recession is rising.
Sunak talks about ‘fairy tale’ economics – let’s not forget he backed Brexit, the biggest ‘fairy tale’ of all
26/10/2022
The new Prime Minister was decisively on the side of those who claimed that the country would have a better future outside the EU.
Even after years of division and vitriol, it seems like Britain still needs to talk about Brexit. / More than six years after voting to leave the European Union, the UK is facing a prolonged recession and a deep cost-of-living crisis. Last week’s Autumn Statement heralded years of higher taxes and cuts to public spending.
New figures put the cost at £1,000 of leaving the EU at per household per year.
Britain has “significantly underperformed” compared with the EU and US since the vote to leave in June 2016, Goldman Sachs claims.
Supply chain disruptions and a slump in consumer confidence are set to see the UK economy stagnate in the medium-term, a major economic think tank said on Tuesday.
Regime change at No.10 could revive one vision of the British economy. But it remains totally unrealistic.
Liz Truss and Rishi Sunak feel bound to talk lower spending to party members, but the former chancellor at least must see the folly of losing billions off our GDP.
Terra Firma boss says UK may need bailout from IMF and now ‘sick man of Europe’ due to Brexit deal
24/10/2022
A leading investment chief has predicted the UK may need a bailout from the IMF and is now the “sick man of Europe” because of the way Brexit was negotiated.
Brexit is forecast to do more permanent damage to the economy than Covid. But this self-inflicted wound can be healed.
The Brexit Bill: Here’s the Damage So Far
30/01/2019
The divorce from the EU looks set to be delayed and could be softened or even abandoned, but the cost of separation is already apparent.
Businesses that make sporting goods, children’s toys, jewellery and medical goods have struggled the most with the border costs imposed by the UK’s decision to leave the EU.
The Brexit bus promised the NHS £350m a week – but it’s British workers paying the price in higher taxes
06/04/2022
As Britons, not Brussels, foot the bill, many will be asking how a Brexit bonus turned into a tax bombshell.
The Brexit debate takes shape
05/12/2018
... the most hard-core Brexiters cannot articulate a deal that they prefer and has the slightest prospect of winning EU approval. Supporters of Brexit made incredible promises that had no basis in reality. / This matters greatly to Japan. Britain is the gateway to Europe for many Japanese companies. / Failure to reach a deal with the EU, for whatever reason, would be a disaster for the U.K.
In this film, senior FT writers and British businesspeople examine how Brexit hit the UK economy, the political conspiracy of silence, and why there has not yet been a convincing case for a 'Brexit dividend'.
Iain Overton examines the lack of consequences for the Brexiters that promised us sunny uplands.
The Brexit Referendum 5 Years on – Summary of Impacts to Date (Information note from the Scottish Government) [pdf]
24/06/2021
This note summarises the evidence so far of the impacts on Brexit on Scotland. It sets out early evidence related to areas such as trade, the workforce and EU programmes.
A new House of Lords report exposes the economic aftershocks of Brexit, highlights David Hencke.
But the UK’s departure means far-reaching changes for the Irish economy. We are already seeing signs of how things may shake out and the really fundamental changes it means for many businesses, for consumers and for trade.
This note summarises the evidence so far of the impacts on Brexit on Scotland. It sets out early evidence related to areas such as trade, the workforce and EU programmes.
With each anniversary, almost everything Remainers feared would happen has come to pass.
The UK economy is 2.9 per cent smaller than it would be ... model also shows that the biggest victim of the Brexit vote has been business investment, while the weaker pound has failed to foster the big gains in exports that some Brexiters hoped for.
The cost of Brexit to June 2022
21/12/2022
My latest update estimates Brexit reduced Britain's GDP by 5.5 per cent by the second quarter of 2022. My model avoids the cherry-picking of data, and performs better than its critics’ methods.
It has been five years since Brexit “got done” – and voters and politicians alike are still counting the cost.
In truth, the Buzzfeed leak doesn't tell us anything we didn't already know. It's a bit less severe than the Treasury analysis from before the referendum, but it's playing in the same sandpit. It's broadly in line, if a little more moderate, than most of the analysis conducted before and after the referendum.
Rather than starting a trade war with the EU, the UK needs to forge a practical and constructive relationship.
Enrico Spolaore of Tufts University talks about the Economics of Brexit The interview was recorded at the Royal Economic Society annual conference at The University of Sussex in Spring 2016 and produced by Econ Films.
John Van Reenen of the Centre for Economic Policy at the London School of Economics talks about the Economics of Brexit. The interview was recorded at the Royal Economic Society annual conference at The University of Sussex in Spring 2016 and produced by Econ Films.
Richard Baldwin, of the Geneva Institute and Editor in Chief of VoxEU talks about the Economics of Brexit. The interview was recorded at the Royal Economic Society annual conference at The University of Sussex in Spring 2016 and produced by Econ Films.
Swati Dhingra of the Centre for Economic Policy at the London School of Economics talks about the key economics of Brexit The interview was recorded at the Royal Economic Society annual conference at The University of Sussex in Spring 2016 and produced by Econ Films.
EU countries have, on the whole, absorbed the shock of Brexit. But in Britain, trade is down – and prices are up.
The evidence that leaving the European Union was a bad idea just keeps pouring in – Angus Robertson
29/11/2022
Every now and again the full, ongoing Brexit disaster is illustrated in technicolour. New evidence has been published showing how appalling it is for the economy, exports, jobs and the health service.
It was Boris Johnson’s choice to prioritise “sovereignty” over the economy – and Britain is already paying the price.
The government doesn’t want to be held to account for Brexit and its real effects – and it’s clear why!
08/10/2022
This week I was contacted by a retired CEO of a major wine wholesaler. They, unbeknownst to me, had asked their local MP John Penrose (Weston-super-Mare, Somerset) if he thought it was acceptable that my wine business had been obliged to open a site in the EU to mitigate Brexit costs.
The Guardian’s in-house Brexit apologist
06/12/2023
Why does the newspaper continue to publish Larry Elliot’s Corbynite nonsense on the EU?
Figures on the cost of Brexit reported by ITV last week could have given a misleading impression of the cost of leaving the EU.
TJ Coles reviews the ways in which leaving the EU has made Britain poorer.
The impact on trade overall appears to have been broadly consistent with predictions so far, that on immigration much less negative (and perhaps even positive) and on investment somewhat worse. Perhaps the best estimate of the negative impact on Brexit on UK GDP to date is 2–3% of GDP.
It has been almost two and a half years since the United Kingdom signed its post-Brexit trade deal with the European Union (EU), which was expected to have multifaceted impacts on the UK economy.
The impact of Brexit, in charts
03/01/2023
How has leaving the EU affected Britain?
The key to net zero? UK-EU cooperation
01/03/2024
With finances tight and growth sluggish, closer alignment would bring mutual benefit.
The next generation will reject Brexit and the way it diminished our country – Europe will welcome us back
03/11/2021
Across the world, there is incomprehension at what we have done to ourselves.
The Northern Ireland protocol is said to be a blight on regional economy. That’s just not true
15/05/2022
After an initial shock to businesses, manufacturing jobs are growing four times faster here than the UK average.
There is still a huge disconnect between the reality of the state of the UK economy since the Brexit vote and media perceptions. I heard one presenter on BBC News say the economy is doing pretty well following the Brexit vote. The reality is very different.
The post-Johnson era is already a nightmare
19/07/2022
Boris Johnson’s Trumpian remarks on the “deep state” will almost certainly have a destructive effect on British democracy.
The pound’s latest collapse is a symptom, but Britain’s decline has been going on for years
30/09/2022
The spectacular collapse of the pound against the US dollar has shattered the illusion that Britain is entitled in perpetuity to special status among the world elite.
The price of Brexit has been £66 billion so far, plus an impending recession — and it hasn't even started yet
07/04/2019
The damage to the UK economy due to Brexit has cost £66 billion ($86 billion) so far, and left the United Kingdom teetering at the brink of a new recession, according to economic data published last week.
The price of Brexit has been £66 billion so far, plus an impending recession — and it hasn’t even started yet
07/03/2019
The damage to the UK economy due to Brexit has cost £66 billion ($86 billion) so far, and left the United Kingdom teetering at the brink of a new recession, according to economic data published last week.
New Labour’s architect says only rebuilding bridges with the EU will solve what Sunak calls Britain’s ‘profound economic challenge’.
Rachel Johnson reveals her suspicion that Boris Johnson's behaviour may down to pressure from investors who have invested billions in shorting the pound and the economy.
It’s five years since Britain voted to leave the EU – so what number should really have been on the side of the Vote Leave bus? Ben Chu examines the real impact of Brexit on the UK’s economy.
The reality of Britain's role in the global trading system after Brexit remains deeply uncertain
29/03/2019
Continuity agreements are in place with a small number of countries but replicating the arrangements that Britain currently benefits from will be the overriding priority throughout the transition period - if there is one - and beyond.
A study by the Centre for European Reform reveals the “troubling” cost of Brexit and says the losses are now too big to ignore.
"Project Fear is Project Fact". How do Brexit and Truss's economics affect the North East?
The three remaining arguments for Brexit
26/06/2023
And why none of them actually stack up.
A no-deal Brexit would be a disaster for Wales, but both Johnson and Hunt would prioritise keeping their party together over keeping the Union together, Plaid Cymru's Adam Price writes
The true cost of Brexit is becoming clearer
19/06/2021
Half a decade after the referendum, the economic hit to the UK caused by Brexit is becoming clearer. But it will be years before the true impact is understood
The consequences of leaving have long been clouded, including by the impact of Covid. Now the data is firming up—and it’s not good news.
The UK and the global economy after Brexit
27/04/2022
Brexit has reduced UK trade openness, foreign direct investment (FDI) inflows, and immigration growth. New border frictions and higher transport costs pose new barriers to trade, and FDI inflows are unlikely to return to levels reached in the 1990s and 2000s.
The UK government has delayed health and safety checks on food imports from the European Union for the fifth time in three years amid fears that the extra controls will push up food prices and disrupt vital supplies.
The UK Government admitted it has no way to measure if Brexit is a success. Critics say it is a smokescreen for its failure.
03/11/2021
The UK Government proposed no measurable way to assess the success of Brexit, according to documents seen by Insider.
Martin Wolf: Britain’s demands for its negotiations with the EU are unrealistic.
The UK is heading for a decade of Italy-style decline thanks to the 'long-lasting' hit from Brexit
18/05/2021
Britain's economy is on course to deteriorate to the level of deeply-struggling Italy over the next decade if it is unable to overcome the hit taken by challenges, including Brexit, according to a new report.
The ‘remoaner elite’, the civil service, the BBC, universities, unions, refugees: anything is blamed but Brexit itself.
This is the real cost of Brexit - SNP
28/09/2021
People, businesses and communities are now paying a heavy price for a hard Brexit we never voted for, imposed by a Tory government we never voted for. / Here’s a rolling list of the impacts of Brexit.
This is why it matters that ministers are still not being honest about the impact of Brexit
02/12/2020
Upbeat messages about the opportunities Brexit will provide are not the way to persuade companies that they needed to invest significant time and effort in preparing for the new paperwork and bureaucracy that awaits them - and this lack of honesty from ministers risks doing real economic damage.
This week, Rishi Sunak talked of building 'an economy that embraces the opportunities of Brexit'. Here's 5 mins on Brexit's impact on the economy so far. [5 mins]
28/10/2022
This week, Rishi Sunak talked of building 'an economy that embraces the opportunities of Brexit'. Here's 5 mins on Brexit's impact on the economy so far.
Those who brought us Brexit must be held accountable for the real economic damage it is now causing
21/02/2021
Watching Brexit is rather like watching a traffic collision in very slow motion, as the United Kingdom car is run over by the European Union railway train. / This is because the UK needs their trade more than they need ours so we agreed to a trade deal that favours the European Union rather than us.
CBI warns uncertainty is crippling UK economy with country at risk of lagging behind G7 competitors.
Here are six charts that tell us what Brexit has meant for the British economy to date.
How has the Leave vote affected the UK economy, ask Swati Dhingra and Thomas Sampson (LSE) in this second of two blogs based on the CEP Election Analysis briefing on Brexit.
Threatening a no deal Brexit "is a problem for the EU", but a "catastrophe" for the UK, former Prime Minister Tony Blair has told the Today programme. He said it would cause "enormous" and "profound damage" to the UK economy.
ONLY as an independent nation can Scotland secure a fair, strong and equal recovery say the SNP after new figures revealed the impact of Brexit and the pandemic on trade.
Guy Hands says Conservatives are putting country ‘on a path to be sick man of Europe’.
Guy Hands said the Conservatives need to re-negotiate the "completely hopeless" Brexit deal.
Tory members happy to trash UK economy, break up union, and destroy their own party to get Brexit, poll finds
18/06/2019
Conservative party members would happily the support break-up of the United Kingdom, “significant damage” to the British economy, and even the destruction of their own party in order to secure Brexit, a poll has found.
Tory MP Peter Bone Got Absolutely Monstered While Trying To Defend A No-Deal Brexit On Sky News
14/12/2020
Labour MP Siobhain McDonagh wasn't having any of it.
Trade Consultation: Give Your Evidence - UK Trade and Business Commission [Deadline: 17/03/2023]
23/01/2023
The UK Trade and Business Commission is gathering evidence to understand the main challenges facing businesses, organisations and economic sectors to establish which policies and trading arrangements will help overcome the economic and trading barriers facing the UK today.
Trade experts ridicule David Frost for denying his Brexit deal is responsible for exports crash
12/03/2021
Author of agreement accused of ignoring ‘every reputable trade specialist and 100 years of trade theory’
Trade, migration and Brexit
25/10/2022
Jonathan Portes assesses the extent to which predictions about trade and migration before the Brexit vote have materialised, highlighting that trade has been reduced by additional barriers but the extent to which liberalisation would increase migration flows in the short term was underestimated.
Brexit has in fact cost every person in the UK £1,200 so far, spending watchdog says – as economy flat-lines.
The Treasury will not carry out any further analysis of the economic impact of the Brexit trade deal Boris Johnson agrees with the EU or the impact of negotiations collapsing, Rishi Sunak has said.
PM and chancellor say they will not publish projections until late November despite them being ready next week.
Truss can’t hide from the crisis she created
28/09/2022
Rejecting expertise and skill in favour of loyalty was always going to lead to this.
Conservatism is an enduring and honourable political creed that has been debased and discredited by incompetent extremists.
A decline in trade with the EU was expected following the coming into force of the Trade and Cooperation Agreement between the UK and the EU on the 1st of January. Nevertheless, when the UK January trade figures were released in early March, almost unanimously commentators were surprised by the extent of the decline.
According to a poll carried out by the Savanta data research group, more people in the UK believe Brexit has damaged the country's economy and influence on the world stage with indicators pointing towards a growing appetite for a second referendum on EU membership.
Although the pound is losing value, exports are lagging. Bureaucratic hurdles also paralyze trade. Brexit is a catastrophe in other respects too.
Jacob Rees-Mogg says the benefits of leaving the EU may not be felt for 50 years – and he’s not the only Eurosceptic asking the people of Britain to wait patiently.
Almost two in three Britons believe Brexit has damaged the UK economy, a new poll for The Independent has found.
reaking free of Brussels bureaucracy was meant to herald a bonfire of red tape for Britain. In the first 100 days of Brexit, the only thing many businesses burned was money.
Brexit uncertainty dragged U.K. investment to its worst slump since the financial crash a decade ago, leaving the economy with barely any momentum.
U.K. inflation is likely to stay higher for longer than that in the U.S. and other countries in Europe due to factors including labor-market pressure caused by the country’s exit from the European Union, Jefferies says.
The U.K.’s dominant services sector flatlined in October, the only part of the economy not to contract.
The U.K. stock market is increasingly telling us Brexit is dead. This possibility in the almost unfathomable Brexit crisis has become totally feasible.
Faced with the unpalatable conclusion that the U.K.’s free-trade deal with Australia would further harm Brexit-hit Northern Ireland, Boris Johnson’s officials simply changed how they crunch the numbers.
Hit to national income – around £420m a week – greater than Boris Johnson’s discredited claim of a £350m boost to be lavished on the NHS.
"Around half of the fiscal hole, and the political instability that comes with that, is down to Brexit," John Springford of the Centre for European Reform.
The Institute of Directors' economic confidence index for July, measuring business leaders’ confidence to invest in the UK, has barely improved since June.
Brexit is hurting the UK economy, Bank of England officials said Wednesday, even as government leaders downplay the impact of the seismic EU withdrawal.
Mike Gallagher, managing director of macro and strategy at Continuum Economics, and Marilyn Watson, head of global fundamental fixed income strategy at BlackRock, discuss Brexit, the Conservative Party leadership race and the U.K. economy. Bloomberg's David Merritt also speaks on "Bloomberg Surveillance."
UK economic growth to slow to zero as Brexit stockpiling effect ends and businesses slash investment
17/06/2019
The political impasse over Brexit threatens to “suffocate” business investment across the UK, with the economy grinding to a halt as a temporary boost from stockpiling comes to an end, the British Chambers of Commerce (BCC) has warned.
Moody’s say downgrade from ‘stable’ was driven by political instability and high inflation.
Leaving the European Union had an impact on the UK economy equivalent to the coronavirus pandemic and likely reduced output by 4%, the chairman of the Office for Budget Responsibility told the BBC.
Leaving the European Union had an impact on the UK economy equivalent to the coronavirus pandemic and likely reduced output by 4%, the chairman of the Office for Budget Responsibility told the BBC.
Britain’s economy grew at its slowest annual pace in nearly a decade during the three months to September as the global slowdown and Brexit worries hit manufacturing and business investment, official figures showed on Monday.
A former Bank of England policymaker suggested there may not be a need for an austerity budget had it not been for Brexit.
A "dramatic" fall in car production and an easing of stockpiling by manufacturers meant the economy shrank in April, official figures show.
UK economy made worse by 'own goals' like Brexit and Truss mini-budget, IFS economist says
18/11/2022
Paul Johnson, the director of the Institute for Fiscal Studies (IFS), said "we're about to get a lot poorer" due to economic "own goals". / Brexit, slashing investment and Liz Truss's mini-budget are among the "own goals" that have led to the UK's dire financial straits, according to a top economist.
CBI warns Boris Johnson that Britain needs a deal as it is already facing impact of Covid
The UK economy saw no growth in the final three months of 2019, as manufacturing contracted for the third quarter in a row and the service sector slowed around the time of the election.
UK economy shrinks amid Brexit uncertainty
09/08/2019
The contraction was the first since 2012 and comes ahead of the UK's planned exit from the European Union. Chancellor of the Exchequer Sajid Javid promised the "fundamentals of the British economy are strong."
Car production slumped 24% as manufacturers shut down plants temporarily in anticipation of no-deal exit from EU that did not happen.
The UK economy contracted 0.2% between April and June, its worst performance since 2012, the Office for National Statistics said.
Britain's economy hit reverse in January on renewed coronavirus curbs while the nation's post-Brexit EU goods exports suffered a record collapse, official data showed Friday.
The drop comes despite a boost to the economy in the first quarter of the year, thanks to Brexit stockpiling.
Hopes that political stability might lead to recovery dashed by Covid-19 crisis.
Decision to leave shrank the British economy by reducing growth and spurring higher inflation, economists say.
The UK is on course to be the world's worst-performing major economy this year, according to updated predictions from the International Monetary Fund - which puts at least part of the blame on higher taxes and interest rates.
The forecast leaves the UK economy languishing behind sanctions-hit Russia.
Britain risks slipping from being the world’s fifth-biggest economy to its seventh-largest next year, when it is due to leave the European Union, with France and India on course to overtake it, accountancy firm PwC said.
NIESR says UK facing worse permanent damage than other rich nations due to ‘poor Covid response’ .
Senior economist Michael Saunders thinks country "wouldn’t be talking about an austerity budget" if it had stayed in the EU.
UN figures show value of British goods and services exports rose by 6% between 2012 and 2021, compared with 29.1% for EU.
Britain's exports to Europe collapsed in January as companies grappled with new terms of trade following Brexit.
UK goods exports to the European Union fell 40.7% in January, according to the Office for National Statistics (ONS), while imports tumbled 28.8%.
Britain's economy risks stagnation and sticky inflation over the coming years due to persistent supply-chain bottlenecks and headwinds from Brexit, the National Institute of Economic and Social Research (NIESR) think tank warned on Tuesday.
Cabinet office briefing warns of ‘sustained disruption’ for several months.
The UK government has been warned of a recession in the absence of a Brexit deal with the EU.
Business group downgrades GDP rises and warns dwindling investment will hurt long-term economy. / Economic growth in Britain is expected to slow to the lowest levels since the financial crisis as firms run down Brexit stockpiles, according to a leading business lobby group.
Thinktank says Brexit and Covid-19 mean Britain could take bigger economic hit over next few years.
Britain will be on course for more distant economic ties with the European Union, making the country poorer, if Prime Minister Boris Johnson wins parliamentary backing for the Brexit deal he clinched with Brussels on Thursday.
Paul Johnson responds to IMF warning that UK will be weakest major G7 economy this year.
Former Bank of England policymaker Adam Posen insists 80% of high price growth is due to Britain leaving EU.
The problems have been "amplified" by Brexit, the former Bank of England governor said.
A weaker than expected recovery from the coronavirus pandemic has left the UK as the only G7 country with a smaller economy than in early 2020, according to official figures likely to further undermine the government’s tax-cutting measures.
UK likely to fall into recession after no-deal Brexit, top international credit rating agency predicts
03/07/2019
Bank economists also note that weakening world economy would amplify Brexit hit to UK.
Factories’ slowdown and weak activity in services signal “minimal” economic growth in second quarter.
Output fell in past three months at sharpest rate since 2009 and investment plans for next 12 months weakened.
Britain may need a bailout from the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and is on the path to become the “sick man of Europe” because of Brexit, a senior finance chief has warned.
One port operator has had to demolish building work for new checks, while other crucial customs sites do not even have planning permission yet.
Britain’s economy showed alarming signs of a sharp slowdown, possibly even into recession, as uncertainty over Brexit combines with a less benign global backdrop, according to a closely watched survey of business activity in the U.K. released Wednesday.
UK retail sales in August dropped at their fastest pace since the global financial crisis in 2008
22/08/2019
CBI says just 10 per cent of the firms said sales are higher than this time last year.
Total retail sales fell 1.3 per cent last month from a year ago, marking the worst September since 1995 when the British Retail Consortium (BRC) and KPMG started collecting the data.
The UK has recorded a record fall in trade with the EU in the first month since the end of the Brexit transition period.
UK showing ‘no real sign’ of approaching trade talks with plan to succeed, key EU official says
08/05/2020
Trade commissioner suggests Britain is planning to blame Covid-19 for Brexit 'fallout'.
Fears for farmers and anger over dropping of pledge to bind Australia to crucial climate temperature limit.
Worries over the impact of Brexit and coronavirus mean more than 70 per cent of the UK’s small and medium-sized businesses do not expect the country’s economy to grow during the rest of 2020, according to new survey data.
Britain remains on track for a record fall in living standards over the two years to the end of March 2024, despite an upward revision to growth forecasts, the Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR) said on Wednesday.
The full consequences of the UK’s exit have been “clouded” by the Covid crisis, war in Ukraine and global slowdown, he said. /
BREXIT, according to its backers, was meant to create endless opportunities. So far, however, the UK has failed to make the vote profitable, with the prospect of "global Britain" quickly fading according to recent data.
The UK’s goods trade is lagging far behind the rest of the G7, while services are booming.
Government figures showing a bounceback in February rightly come with a health warning.
UK Trade with EU Plunges After Brexit
12/03/2021
U.K. trade with the European Union plunged in January as Britain’s departure from the bloc and widespread coronavirus restrictions dealt a double blow to the nation’s struggling economy.
U.K. trade with the European Union plunged in January as Britain’s departure from the bloc and widespread coronavirus restrictions dealt a double blow to the nation’s struggling economy.
UK warned not to take appeal for international students ‘for granted’ amid drop in EU student numbers
09/09/2021
International students thought to be worth £25.9bn a year to UK economy.
Councils and port health authorities risk being overwhelmed, Institute for Government says.
Boris Johnson’s agreement estimated to cost 6.7% of expected GDP rise over 15 years.
THE UK will suffer the worst recession of any of the world's top economies as Britain's painfully high rate of inflation is exacerbated by the effects of Brexit and the UK Government's untargeted energy support scheme, a new report has found.
According to the Office for National Statistics (ONS), within the last quarter of 2022, the UK imported about £33billion more than it exported to the EU. / This is the worst performance of the UK export trade balance since records began in 1997. / This is a shocking testimony that Brexit has caused fundamental deep-rooted damage to British exports.
With a wave of strikes this summer and inflation at 10%, the UK seems to be in a febrile mood. Mapping the World examines the state of the British economy after several overlapping crises: the pandemic, the war in Ukraine and Brexit. How is the decision to leave the European Union affecting the island nation?
Voters worried that Brexit has been bad for economy, as official figures show massive slump in trade
12/03/2021
More Britons believe Brexit has been bad for the economy and trade than good, according to new polling for The Independent.
Brexit has "permanently damaged" the UK economy, former Bank of England policymaker Michael Saunders warned as London was deposed as Europe's biggest stock market.
Meanwhile former Cabinet minister George Eustice questioned the negotiating strategy that led to the Australia and New Zealand trade deals.
The UK economy looks sickly against international comparisons, so let’s be honest about the three causes.
Now that many advanced economies have recovered and are close to – or above – their pre-pandemic level of output, we can compare Britain’s economic performance to its peers. The results are troubling.
Crashing out of the EU would affect UK politics, the economy, security and millions of British and European migrants.
What is Kwasi Kwarteng really up to? One answer: this is a reckless gamble to shrink the state
27/09/2022
In the US they call it ‘starving the beast’ – cut taxes and, as revenue decreases, you create irresistible pressure for austerity.
A comprehensive guide to the massive impact likely if the UK crashes out of the EU.
How vulnerable each region is to economic disruptions from Brexit: Parts of Germany are especially vulnerable.
Unprecedented global conditions have lacerated the UK economy. Yet it's a situation that's been considerably worsened by Brexit.
Wales voted for Brexit by the same margin as the UK overall, 52 to 48 per cent, in sharp contrast to Northern Ireland and Scotland. / There is evidence that disproportionate support for Leave among the 21 per cent of Welsh voters who were born in England tipped the vote for Leave in Wales.
The economic fallout from leaving the EU is becoming all too apparent.
Prices rose by 25 per cent from December 2019 to March 2023, compared to a 17 per cent projection had Britain stayed in the EU single market.
A thorough audit of the EU-UK Trade and Cooperation Agreement would foster a better relationship in the post-Brexit world we now navigate.
Why would anyone trust Brexit Britain again?
24/07/2021
Just seven months after singing its praises, British Prime Minister Boris Johnson is attempting to rewrite the Brexit deal he signed with the European Union.
As the June extension deadline looms, the prime minister’s priority will be to minimise damage to his personal brand and legacy.
As with another self-inflicted economic injury in the 1920s, Britain is struggling under a burden that could be reversed.
A study by the Resolution Foundation think tank and London School of Economics details some of the outcomes of the decision to quit the EU - six years after the historic vote.
The UK economy is yet to feel the worst impacts of Britain’s divorce from the European Union, senior business leaders said, in spite of Prime Minister Rishi Sunak’s recent efforts to smooth relations with the bloc.
A NO-DEAL Brexit risks extra trouble for the UK during an oncoming recession that could be as deep as the Great Depression, the head of the World Trade Organisation (WTO) has said.
Red tape continues to frustrate small businesses as the hunt for the sunlit uplands goes on.
Inflation for what Britons consume would have been nearly a third lower had the UK stayed in the EU, study finds.
Government hoped to sell new guidance as ‘Brexit benefit’. / The government expects zero economic benefit from the reintroduction of crown symbols on pint glasses, ministers have admitted.
Zwei Jahre Brexit: Das britische Eigentor
04/01/2023
Obwohl das Pfund an Wert verliert, hinkt der Export. Bürokratische Hürden lähmen den Handel zusätzlich. Auch sonst ist der Brexit eine Katastrophe.
The think tank study indicates GDP would be 2.3 per cent higher had the UK voted to remain in the EU.
We now estimate that the output loss due to the Brexit vote amounts to about 2% of GDP, or £35 billion. The negative drag from the Brexit vote has increased somewhat since our last estimation and now amounts to roughly £350 million a week. Under current OECD forecast, we expect the output loss to increase to 3.4% of GDP by end-2019.
‘A terrible, self-inflicted own goal’: Kevin Maguire pins Britain’s economic woes to Brexit
12/04/2023
The Mirror man called the UK's split with the EU "a disaster, a nightmare," adding that "long term it'll take 4% off the economy."
‘Brexit is a joke’: New analysis shows projected 0.08% from UK-Asia trade deal could be an overestimate
11/04/2023
Hidden in the small print of a technical document published by the Department for International Trade is an admission that officials could have juiced up the figures.
Former Tory MEP Struan Stevenson insisted it 'makes sense' to have longer for the transition talks.
‘From rhetoric to recession’: Dutch press say Britain is now facing economic realities of Brexit
20/01/2023
Labour shortages have made inflation more persistent, Joost Derks said, putting Britain's economy in a slippery slope.
‘It’s a horror show’: Business consultant slams Brexit for slowing down exports to the EU [3 mins]
18/11/2022
Since Brexit, this business consultant is having to fill “93 to 102-page documents” to get products to companies in Europe, with the shipping taking up to six months.
"As far as trade is concerned, things are panning out in the manner once stupidly dismissed as “Project Fear”. And we will be poorer as a result."
Charlie Cornish says departure from EU has harmed UK aviation sector’s ability to recruit workers.
“Only a total rejection of Brexit lies can fix broken Westminster politics,” Plaid Cymru Westminster leader, Liz Saville Roberts MP will today say in a keynote speech at the party’s annual conference.
“These forecasts are a vital indicator of the health of the nation’s finances," Mel Stride said.
‘Should be front-page news!’ – Research shows catastrophic impact of Brexit on UK economy
10/06/2022
Centre for European Reform figures show that by the end of last year, the economy was 5% - or £31 billion - smaller than it would have been if the UK had stayed in the EU.
The modelling estimates Scotland's GDP could be around 6.1% lower compared to if it remained a member of the EU.
Stagflation reflects the "realities that Brexit has wrought", economist Adam Posen said.
Inflation and the cost-of-living crisis – both of which are also linked to Russia’s invasion of Ukraine – have been made worse by the cost of Brexit, according to the Ex-Secretary of the Department for Exiting the EU.
He said many MPs privately agree that the UK should have a closer trading relationship with the EU but are too scared to say so.
"To bring inflation under control we don’t need rates to rise, we need freedom of movement back," one expert said.
Sectors from fishing to aviation, farming to science report being bogged down in red tape, struggling to recruit staff and racking up losses for the first time.
International delivery firm ParcelHero says August’s £800m fall in EU trade adds to the UK’s economic woes.
‘Worse than feared’ – Brexit costs UK £33bn
21/12/2022
Brexit has cost the UK a staggering £33bn in lost trade and investment, according to a new study that found the economic damage is even worse than previously feared.
Economy 5.5 per cent smaller than if Leave referendum hadn’t happened, says think tank.
"The jury is in, the fat lady has sung, there is no debate anymore." / The UK is on track to be the worst-performing G7 economy this year – despite an upgrade from the International Monetary Fund.
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